The open-seat contest in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, following Republican incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, shapes current trader positioning. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles support the Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado’s 57.5% implied probability, while Democratic nominee Zach Dembo benefits from the presence of Lexington and surrounding suburban areas that have shown greater competitiveness. Primaries concluded on May 19, 2026, with both major-party candidates advancing, narrowing uncertainty but leaving room for campaign dynamics, fundraising, and turnout among independent and swing voters to influence the November 3 general-election outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$26,519 Обс.
$26,519 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
57%
Democratic Party
40%
$26,519 Обс.
$26,519 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,297 Обс.
57%
Democratic Party
$16,221 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat contest in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, following Republican incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, shapes current trader positioning. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles support the Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado’s 57.5% implied probability, while Democratic nominee Zach Dembo benefits from the presence of Lexington and surrounding suburban areas that have shown greater competitiveness. Primaries concluded on May 19, 2026, with both major-party candidates advancing, narrowing uncertainty but leaving room for campaign dynamics, fundraising, and turnout among independent and swing voters to influence the November 3 general-election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,519Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat contest in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, following Republican incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, shapes current trader positioning. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles support the Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado’s 57.5% implied probability, while Democratic nominee Zach Dembo benefits from the presence of Lexington and surrounding suburban areas that have shown greater competitiveness. Primaries concluded on May 19, 2026, with both major-party candidates advancing, narrowing uncertainty but leaving room for campaign dynamics, fundraising, and turnout among independent and swing voters to influence the November 3 general-election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,519Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat contest in Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, following Republican incumbent Andy Barr’s decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, shapes current trader positioning. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles support the Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado’s 57.5% implied probability, while Democratic nominee Zach Dembo benefits from the presence of Lexington and surrounding suburban areas that have shown greater competitiveness. Primaries concluded on May 19, 2026, with both major-party candidates advancing, narrowing uncertainty but leaving room for campaign dynamics, fundraising, and turnout among independent and swing voters to influence the November 3 general-election outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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