Ralph Alvarado leads the Kentucky 6th District race as the Republican nominee in an open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr, benefiting from President Trump’s endorsement and a primary victory that consolidated party support in a district rated Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. The Lexington-area seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles despite its relatively competitive voter base. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran, secured his nomination and has drawn national Democratic attention, including a DCCC poll showing a statistical tie in June and attack ads funded by Gov. Andy Beshear’s super PAC in September. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural Republican tilt and Alvarado’s name recognition more heavily than early polling volatility or ongoing opposition messaging on past business ties. The November 3 general election remains the decisive resolution point.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$35,237 Обс.
$35,237 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Ralph Alvarado (R)
74%
Zach Dembo (D)
26%
$35,237 Обс.
$35,237 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Ralph Alvarado (R)
$15,244 Обс.
74%
Zach Dembo (D)
$19,993 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado leads the Kentucky 6th District race as the Republican nominee in an open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr, benefiting from President Trump’s endorsement and a primary victory that consolidated party support in a district rated Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. The Lexington-area seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles despite its relatively competitive voter base. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran, secured his nomination and has drawn national Democratic attention, including a DCCC poll showing a statistical tie in June and attack ads funded by Gov. Andy Beshear’s super PAC in September. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural Republican tilt and Alvarado’s name recognition more heavily than early polling volatility or ongoing opposition messaging on past business ties. The November 3 general election remains the decisive resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,237Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado leads the Kentucky 6th District race as the Republican nominee in an open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr, benefiting from President Trump’s endorsement and a primary victory that consolidated party support in a district rated Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. The Lexington-area seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles despite its relatively competitive voter base. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran, secured his nomination and has drawn national Democratic attention, including a DCCC poll showing a statistical tie in June and attack ads funded by Gov. Andy Beshear’s super PAC in September. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural Republican tilt and Alvarado’s name recognition more heavily than early polling volatility or ongoing opposition messaging on past business ties. The November 3 general election remains the decisive resolution point.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,237Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Ralph Alvarado leads the Kentucky 6th District race as the Republican nominee in an open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr, benefiting from President Trump’s endorsement and a primary victory that consolidated party support in a district rated Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. The Lexington-area seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles despite its relatively competitive voter base. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran, secured his nomination and has drawn national Democratic attention, including a DCCC poll showing a statistical tie in June and attack ads funded by Gov. Andy Beshear’s super PAC in September. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural Republican tilt and Alvarado’s name recognition more heavily than early polling volatility or ongoing opposition messaging on past business ties. The November 3 general election remains the decisive resolution point.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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