The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,266 Обс.
77%
Republican Party
$1,020 Обс.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,286Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,286Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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