Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026 Keelung mayoral race, reflecting trader consensus on his renomination, survival of a 2024 recall effort, and the city's historical leanings. His main challenger, DPP nominee Tung Tzu-wei, the city council speaker with strong local roots and recent policy proposals on healthcare infrastructure, trails notably. A single independent candidate adds limited competition. Recent campaign activity, including candidate registrations in early September and Tung's September 17 healthcare announcement, has not materially shifted positioning ahead of the vote. The implied probability gap aligns with incumbency advantages typical in Taiwanese local contests, though voter turnout and late campaign developments could still influence final margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
86%
Tung Tzu-wei
12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
$1,127 Обс.
86%
Tung Tzu-wei
$656 Обс.
12%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026 Keelung mayoral race, reflecting trader consensus on his renomination, survival of a 2024 recall effort, and the city's historical leanings. His main challenger, DPP nominee Tung Tzu-wei, the city council speaker with strong local roots and recent policy proposals on healthcare infrastructure, trails notably. A single independent candidate adds limited competition. Recent campaign activity, including candidate registrations in early September and Tung's September 17 healthcare announcement, has not materially shifted positioning ahead of the vote. The implied probability gap aligns with incumbency advantages typical in Taiwanese local contests, though voter turnout and late campaign developments could still influence final margins.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,783Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026 Keelung mayoral race, reflecting trader consensus on his renomination, survival of a 2024 recall effort, and the city's historical leanings. His main challenger, DPP nominee Tung Tzu-wei, the city council speaker with strong local roots and recent policy proposals on healthcare infrastructure, trails notably. A single independent candidate adds limited competition. Recent campaign activity, including candidate registrations in early September and Tung's September 17 healthcare announcement, has not materially shifted positioning ahead of the vote. The implied probability gap aligns with incumbency advantages typical in Taiwanese local contests, though voter turnout and late campaign developments could still influence final margins.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$1,783Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026 Keelung mayoral race, reflecting trader consensus on his renomination, survival of a 2024 recall effort, and the city's historical leanings. His main challenger, DPP nominee Tung Tzu-wei, the city council speaker with strong local roots and recent policy proposals on healthcare infrastructure, trails notably. A single independent candidate adds limited competition. Recent campaign activity, including candidate registrations in early September and Tung's September 17 healthcare announcement, has not materially shifted positioning ahead of the vote. The implied probability gap aligns with incumbency advantages typical in Taiwanese local contests, though voter turnout and late campaign developments could still influence final margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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