Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement and ties to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a solidly Republican district rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with consistent historical support for GOP candidates. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate scandals, turnout shifts in rural areas, or broader national swings could narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWI-07 House Election Winner
WI-07 House Election Winner
$42,190 Обс.
$42,190 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$42,190 Обс.
$42,190 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,469 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$20,721 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement and ties to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a solidly Republican district rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with consistent historical support for GOP candidates. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate scandals, turnout shifts in rural areas, or broader national swings could narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,190Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement and ties to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a solidly Republican district rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with consistent historical support for GOP candidates. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate scandals, turnout shifts in rural areas, or broader national swings could narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$42,190Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement and ties to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a solidly Republican district rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with consistent historical support for GOP candidates. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate scandals, turnout shifts in rural areas, or broader national swings could narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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