André Carson's strong position as the long-serving incumbent in Indiana's 7th District stems from its deep Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent margins exceeding 65 percent in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection. Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Patrick McAuley, who won his party's primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.9 percent for Carson aligns with these structural factors, though a major national swing, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking development could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIN-07 House Election Winner
IN-07 House Election Winner
$45,726 Обс.
$45,726 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
André Carson (D)
96%
Patrick McAuley (R)
1%
$45,726 Обс.
$45,726 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
André Carson (D)
$7,947 Обс.
96%
Patrick McAuley (R)
$37,779 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).André Carson's strong position as the long-serving incumbent in Indiana's 7th District stems from its deep Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent margins exceeding 65 percent in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection. Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Patrick McAuley, who won his party's primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.9 percent for Carson aligns with these structural factors, though a major national swing, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking development could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,726Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).André Carson's strong position as the long-serving incumbent in Indiana's 7th District stems from its deep Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent margins exceeding 65 percent in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection. Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Patrick McAuley, who won his party's primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.9 percent for Carson aligns with these structural factors, though a major national swing, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking development could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$45,726Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...André Carson's strong position as the long-serving incumbent in Indiana's 7th District stems from its deep Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent margins exceeding 65 percent in recent cycles, including his 2024 reelection. Carson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Patrick McAuley, who won his party's primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.9 percent for Carson aligns with these structural factors, though a major national swing, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking development could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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