Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with 62.4% of the vote in Indiana's 7th congressional district, which encompasses most of Indianapolis in Marion County. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in Carson's 68.3% general election margin in 2024 and its status as the state's most racially diverse district, underpins the current trader consensus. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley, a commercial real estate professional who won his primary, faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have long dominated. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIN-07 House Election Winner
IN-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,117 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$2,544 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with 62.4% of the vote in Indiana's 7th congressional district, which encompasses most of Indianapolis in Marion County. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in Carson's 68.3% general election margin in 2024 and its status as the state's most racially diverse district, underpins the current trader consensus. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley, a commercial real estate professional who won his primary, faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have long dominated. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,661Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with 62.4% of the vote in Indiana's 7th congressional district, which encompasses most of Indianapolis in Marion County. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in Carson's 68.3% general election margin in 2024 and its status as the state's most racially diverse district, underpins the current trader consensus. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley, a commercial real estate professional who won his primary, faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have long dominated. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,661Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026, primary with 62.4% of the vote in Indiana's 7th congressional district, which encompasses most of Indianapolis in Marion County. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in Carson's 68.3% general election margin in 2024 and its status as the state's most racially diverse district, underpins the current trader consensus. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley, a commercial real estate professional who won his primary, faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have long dominated. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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