Incumbent Republican Russell Fry enters the November 2026 general election for South Carolina’s 7th congressional district as the clear frontrunner, backed by the seat’s R+12 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with primaries canceled after single candidates qualified on each side, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeding $1.4 million and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 95-plus percent implied probability for a Republican hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national midterm shifts favoring Democrats, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSC-07 House Election Winner
SC-07 House Election Winner
$36,963 Обс.
$36,963 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
6%
$36,963 Обс.
$36,963 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,328 Обс.
96%
Democratic Party
$15,635 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry enters the November 2026 general election for South Carolina’s 7th congressional district as the clear frontrunner, backed by the seat’s R+12 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with primaries canceled after single candidates qualified on each side, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeding $1.4 million and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 95-plus percent implied probability for a Republican hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national midterm shifts favoring Democrats, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,963Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry enters the November 2026 general election for South Carolina’s 7th congressional district as the clear frontrunner, backed by the seat’s R+12 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with primaries canceled after single candidates qualified on each side, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeding $1.4 million and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 95-plus percent implied probability for a Republican hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national midterm shifts favoring Democrats, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$36,963Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry enters the November 2026 general election for South Carolina’s 7th congressional district as the clear frontrunner, backed by the seat’s R+12 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with primaries canceled after single candidates qualified on each side, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeding $1.4 million and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 95-plus percent implied probability for a Republican hold. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major national midterm shifts favoring Democrats, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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