Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez holds a commanding position in Illinois's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's 96.8% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and Ramirez secured unopposed renomination in the March primary while raising over $1.2 million compared to minimal funds for Republican challenger Angel Oakley. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's partisan baseline and the incumbent's established advantages.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-03 House Election Winner
IL-03 House Election Winner
$51,190 Обс.
$51,190 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$51,190 Обс.
$51,190 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,986 Обс.
97%
Republican Party
$24,204 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez holds a commanding position in Illinois's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's 96.8% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and Ramirez secured unopposed renomination in the March primary while raising over $1.2 million compared to minimal funds for Republican challenger Angel Oakley. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's partisan baseline and the incumbent's established advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$51,190Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez holds a commanding position in Illinois's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's 96.8% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and Ramirez secured unopposed renomination in the March primary while raising over $1.2 million compared to minimal funds for Republican challenger Angel Oakley. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's partisan baseline and the incumbent's established advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$51,190Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez holds a commanding position in Illinois's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market's 96.8% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a D+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and Ramirez secured unopposed renomination in the March primary while raising over $1.2 million compared to minimal funds for Republican challenger Angel Oakley. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's partisan baseline and the incumbent's established advantages.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання