The Illinois 2nd congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent's consistent double-digit margins and the area's demographic makeup in south Chicago and surrounding suburbs, underpins traders' strong consensus around a Democratic general election victory. Robin Kelly's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary win over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., quickly consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election matchup against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in the district. Factors that could still narrow this advantage include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$32,203 Обс.
$32,203 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$32,203 Обс.
$32,203 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,696 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$18,507 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent's consistent double-digit margins and the area's demographic makeup in south Chicago and surrounding suburbs, underpins traders' strong consensus around a Democratic general election victory. Robin Kelly's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary win over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., quickly consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election matchup against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in the district. Factors that could still narrow this advantage include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,203Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent's consistent double-digit margins and the area's demographic makeup in south Chicago and surrounding suburbs, underpins traders' strong consensus around a Democratic general election victory. Robin Kelly's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary win over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., quickly consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election matchup against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in the district. Factors that could still narrow this advantage include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$32,203Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent's consistent double-digit margins and the area's demographic makeup in south Chicago and surrounding suburbs, underpins traders' strong consensus around a Democratic general election victory. Robin Kelly's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary win over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., quickly consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election matchup against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in the district. Factors that could still narrow this advantage include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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