Illinois's 2nd congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of southeast Chicago and adjacent suburbs, producing consistent large margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. With incumbent Robin Kelly seeking a U.S. Senate seat, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller as the nominee after a crowded field. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely exceed 65 percent. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical turnout patterns. A general-election upset would require an unusually large swing in voter preference, a late development altering candidate viability, or shifts in district lines that have not occurred.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$32,964 Обс.
$32,964 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$32,964 Обс.
$32,964 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,067 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$18,897 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of southeast Chicago and adjacent suburbs, producing consistent large margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. With incumbent Robin Kelly seeking a U.S. Senate seat, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller as the nominee after a crowded field. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely exceed 65 percent. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical turnout patterns. A general-election upset would require an unusually large swing in voter preference, a late development altering candidate viability, or shifts in district lines that have not occurred.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,964Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of southeast Chicago and adjacent suburbs, producing consistent large margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. With incumbent Robin Kelly seeking a U.S. Senate seat, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller as the nominee after a crowded field. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely exceed 65 percent. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical turnout patterns. A general-election upset would require an unusually large swing in voter preference, a late development altering candidate viability, or shifts in district lines that have not occurred.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$32,964Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 2nd congressional district encompasses heavily Democratic areas of southeast Chicago and adjacent suburbs, producing consistent large margins for Democratic nominees in recent cycles. With incumbent Robin Kelly seeking a U.S. Senate seat, the March 2026 Democratic primary produced Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller as the nominee after a crowded field. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely exceed 65 percent. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical turnout patterns. A general-election upset would require an unusually large swing in voter preference, a late development altering candidate viability, or shifts in district lines that have not occurred.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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