Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's uncontested Democratic primary victory on March 17 solidified his path in the deeply blue IL-01, a district with a D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-74% Democratic general election margins since 2020. GOP nominee Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary, trails significantly in early fundraising ($27K raised vs. Jackson's $311K as of late February), underscoring limited viability in this Chicago South Side stronghold. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and historical precedents for safe Democratic holds. Disruptions like a major Jackson scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave remain possible but improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$32,279 Обс.
$32,279 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$32,279 Обс.
$32,279 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,254 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$19,025 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's uncontested Democratic primary victory on March 17 solidified his path in the deeply blue IL-01, a district with a D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-74% Democratic general election margins since 2020. GOP nominee Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary, trails significantly in early fundraising ($27K raised vs. Jackson's $311K as of late February), underscoring limited viability in this Chicago South Side stronghold. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and historical precedents for safe Democratic holds. Disruptions like a major Jackson scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave remain possible but improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,279Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's uncontested Democratic primary victory on March 17 solidified his path in the deeply blue IL-01, a district with a D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-74% Democratic general election margins since 2020. GOP nominee Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary, trails significantly in early fundraising ($27K raised vs. Jackson's $311K as of late February), underscoring limited viability in this Chicago South Side stronghold. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and historical precedents for safe Democratic holds. Disruptions like a major Jackson scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave remain possible but improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$32,279Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's uncontested Democratic primary victory on March 17 solidified his path in the deeply blue IL-01, a district with a D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 65-74% Democratic general election margins since 2020. GOP nominee Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary, trails significantly in early fundraising ($27K raised vs. Jackson's $311K as of late February), underscoring limited viability in this Chicago South Side stronghold. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and historical precedents for safe Democratic holds. Disruptions like a major Jackson scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave remain possible but improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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