Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longstanding Republican stronghold in northwestern Iowa, encompassing areas such as Ames and Sioux City, where the party has held the seat comfortably in recent cycles. With incumbent Randy Feenstra retiring to pursue the governorship, the open seat drew limited competition, and Republican nominee Chris McGowan advanced through the June 2026 primary with strong fundraising totals exceeding $679,000. Democratic nominee Dave Dawson, who emerged from his party's primary, trails significantly in reported contributions at roughly $136,000. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have maintained Solid or Safe Republican ratings for the district ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage and modest Democratic resources, though shifts could still occur from national midterm dynamics, late-cycle turnout surges in rural precincts, or unforeseen campaign developments within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
$32,156 Обс.
$32,156 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$32,156 Обс.
$32,156 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,064 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$12,091 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longstanding Republican stronghold in northwestern Iowa, encompassing areas such as Ames and Sioux City, where the party has held the seat comfortably in recent cycles. With incumbent Randy Feenstra retiring to pursue the governorship, the open seat drew limited competition, and Republican nominee Chris McGowan advanced through the June 2026 primary with strong fundraising totals exceeding $679,000. Democratic nominee Dave Dawson, who emerged from his party's primary, trails significantly in reported contributions at roughly $136,000. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have maintained Solid or Safe Republican ratings for the district ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage and modest Democratic resources, though shifts could still occur from national midterm dynamics, late-cycle turnout surges in rural precincts, or unforeseen campaign developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,156Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longstanding Republican stronghold in northwestern Iowa, encompassing areas such as Ames and Sioux City, where the party has held the seat comfortably in recent cycles. With incumbent Randy Feenstra retiring to pursue the governorship, the open seat drew limited competition, and Republican nominee Chris McGowan advanced through the June 2026 primary with strong fundraising totals exceeding $679,000. Democratic nominee Dave Dawson, who emerged from his party's primary, trails significantly in reported contributions at roughly $136,000. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have maintained Solid or Safe Republican ratings for the district ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage and modest Democratic resources, though shifts could still occur from national midterm dynamics, late-cycle turnout surges in rural precincts, or unforeseen campaign developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$32,156Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a longstanding Republican stronghold in northwestern Iowa, encompassing areas such as Ames and Sioux City, where the party has held the seat comfortably in recent cycles. With incumbent Randy Feenstra retiring to pursue the governorship, the open seat drew limited competition, and Republican nominee Chris McGowan advanced through the June 2026 primary with strong fundraising totals exceeding $679,000. Democratic nominee Dave Dawson, who emerged from his party's primary, trails significantly in reported contributions at roughly $136,000. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have maintained Solid or Safe Republican ratings for the district ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage and modest Democratic resources, though shifts could still occur from national midterm dynamics, late-cycle turnout surges in rural precincts, or unforeseen campaign developments within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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