Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 1st congressional district, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced as the Democratic nominee. The northeastern Mississippi district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in historical general election margins exceeding 20 points and consistent ratings as solidly Republican. Traders' consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require an unusually large national partisan swing, an unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent to alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$106,659 Обс.
$106,659 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
$106,659 Обс.
$106,659 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$77,449 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$29,210 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 1st congressional district, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced as the Democratic nominee. The northeastern Mississippi district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in historical general election margins exceeding 20 points and consistent ratings as solidly Republican. Traders' consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require an unusually large national partisan swing, an unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$106,659Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 1st congressional district, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced as the Democratic nominee. The northeastern Mississippi district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in historical general election margins exceeding 20 points and consistent ratings as solidly Republican. Traders' consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require an unusually large national partisan swing, an unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$106,659Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 1st congressional district, while Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced as the Democratic nominee. The northeastern Mississippi district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in historical general election margins exceeding 20 points and consistent ratings as solidly Republican. Traders' consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage, incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require an unusually large national partisan swing, an unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent to alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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