Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10 Republican primary, capturing 100% of the vote, solidifies trader consensus at over 90% for a GOP win in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+18. Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-turnout primary by defeating Kelvin Buck 66%-34%, but trails significantly in fundraising with $65,000 cash on hand versus Kelly's $827,000 as of late March. Kelly's history of double-digit margins—69.8% in 2024—reinforces the frontrunner status in this northern Mississippi battleground. Upsets would require a major Kelly scandal, health event, or unprecedented Democratic national wave before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$84,177 Обс.
$84,177 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$84,177 Обс.
$84,177 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$66,098 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,079 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10 Republican primary, capturing 100% of the vote, solidifies trader consensus at over 90% for a GOP win in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+18. Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-turnout primary by defeating Kelvin Buck 66%-34%, but trails significantly in fundraising with $65,000 cash on hand versus Kelly's $827,000 as of late March. Kelly's history of double-digit margins—69.8% in 2024—reinforces the frontrunner status in this northern Mississippi battleground. Upsets would require a major Kelly scandal, health event, or unprecedented Democratic national wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$84,177Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10 Republican primary, capturing 100% of the vote, solidifies trader consensus at over 90% for a GOP win in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+18. Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-turnout primary by defeating Kelvin Buck 66%-34%, but trails significantly in fundraising with $65,000 cash on hand versus Kelly's $827,000 as of late March. Kelly's history of double-digit margins—69.8% in 2024—reinforces the frontrunner status in this northern Mississippi battleground. Upsets would require a major Kelly scandal, health event, or unprecedented Democratic national wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$84,177Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10 Republican primary, capturing 100% of the vote, solidifies trader consensus at over 90% for a GOP win in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+18. Democrat Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-turnout primary by defeating Kelvin Buck 66%-34%, but trails significantly in fundraising with $65,000 cash on hand versus Kelly's $827,000 as of late March. Kelly's history of double-digit margins—69.8% in 2024—reinforces the frontrunner status in this northern Mississippi battleground. Upsets would require a major Kelly scandal, health event, or unprecedented Democratic national wave before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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