Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly seeks reelection in Mississippi's 1st congressional district, rated R+18 on the Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating a primary opponent. This structural edge, rooted in the northeastern district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, drives the market's 94.5% Republican consensus three months before the November 3 general election. A major scandal, sharp national shift favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated challenger turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely altered outcomes in this safely held seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$115,368 Обс.
$115,368 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
$115,368 Обс.
$115,368 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$83,148 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$32,220 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly seeks reelection in Mississippi's 1st congressional district, rated R+18 on the Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating a primary opponent. This structural edge, rooted in the northeastern district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, drives the market's 94.5% Republican consensus three months before the November 3 general election. A major scandal, sharp national shift favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated challenger turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely altered outcomes in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$115,368Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly seeks reelection in Mississippi's 1st congressional district, rated R+18 on the Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating a primary opponent. This structural edge, rooted in the northeastern district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, drives the market's 94.5% Republican consensus three months before the November 3 general election. A major scandal, sharp national shift favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated challenger turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely altered outcomes in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$115,368Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly seeks reelection in Mississippi's 1st congressional district, rated R+18 on the Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating a primary opponent. This structural edge, rooted in the northeastern district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, drives the market's 94.5% Republican consensus three months before the November 3 general election. A major scandal, sharp national shift favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated challenger turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely altered outcomes in this safely held seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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