Incumbent Republican Mark Harris, who secured 59.6% in the 2024 general election, advanced unopposed through the GOP primary canceled in March, positioning him strongly in the R+10 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Colby Watson narrowly won the fractured April 16 primary with 47.9% against two rivals amid low turnout of under 38,000 votes, but trails dramatically in fundraising with just $1,800 cash on hand versus Harris's $400,000. These dynamics, including post-redistricting boundaries from October 2025 favoring Republicans, drive trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3 general election, with Democrats facing steep barriers absent major shifts like scandals or national wave turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-08 House Election Winner
NC-08 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,740 Обс.
87%
Democratic Party
$5,353 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris, who secured 59.6% in the 2024 general election, advanced unopposed through the GOP primary canceled in March, positioning him strongly in the R+10 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Colby Watson narrowly won the fractured April 16 primary with 47.9% against two rivals amid low turnout of under 38,000 votes, but trails dramatically in fundraising with just $1,800 cash on hand versus Harris's $400,000. These dynamics, including post-redistricting boundaries from October 2025 favoring Republicans, drive trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3 general election, with Democrats facing steep barriers absent major shifts like scandals or national wave turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,093Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris, who secured 59.6% in the 2024 general election, advanced unopposed through the GOP primary canceled in March, positioning him strongly in the R+10 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Colby Watson narrowly won the fractured April 16 primary with 47.9% against two rivals amid low turnout of under 38,000 votes, but trails dramatically in fundraising with just $1,800 cash on hand versus Harris's $400,000. These dynamics, including post-redistricting boundaries from October 2025 favoring Republicans, drive trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3 general election, with Democrats facing steep barriers absent major shifts like scandals or national wave turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,093Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Harris, who secured 59.6% in the 2024 general election, advanced unopposed through the GOP primary canceled in March, positioning him strongly in the R+10 district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Colby Watson narrowly won the fractured April 16 primary with 47.9% against two rivals amid low turnout of under 38,000 votes, but trails dramatically in fundraising with just $1,800 cash on hand versus Harris's $400,000. These dynamics, including post-redistricting boundaries from October 2025 favoring Republicans, drive trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3 general election, with Democrats facing steep barriers absent major shifts like scandals or national wave turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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