Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the July 2026 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, overcoming multiple allegations of sexual misconduct that surfaced during the campaign. The open seat, vacated by Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid, lies in a district that supported the Republican presidential nominee by about 20 points in 2024 and has consistently delivered strong GOP margins in House races. Lamb benefited from an early endorsement by President Trump and limited Democratic opposition, as Elizabeth Lee captured her party’s nomination but trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safely or solidly Republican. A late scandal escalation, health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan baseline and Lamb’s primary performance underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-05 House Election Winner
AZ-05 House Election Winner
$36,872 Обс.
$36,872 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Lamb (R)
92%
Elizabeth Lee (D)
9%
$36,872 Обс.
$36,872 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Lamb (R)
$20,874 Обс.
92%
Elizabeth Lee (D)
$15,998 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the July 2026 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, overcoming multiple allegations of sexual misconduct that surfaced during the campaign. The open seat, vacated by Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid, lies in a district that supported the Republican presidential nominee by about 20 points in 2024 and has consistently delivered strong GOP margins in House races. Lamb benefited from an early endorsement by President Trump and limited Democratic opposition, as Elizabeth Lee captured her party’s nomination but trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safely or solidly Republican. A late scandal escalation, health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan baseline and Lamb’s primary performance underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$36,872Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the July 2026 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, overcoming multiple allegations of sexual misconduct that surfaced during the campaign. The open seat, vacated by Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid, lies in a district that supported the Republican presidential nominee by about 20 points in 2024 and has consistently delivered strong GOP margins in House races. Lamb benefited from an early endorsement by President Trump and limited Democratic opposition, as Elizabeth Lee captured her party’s nomination but trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safely or solidly Republican. A late scandal escalation, health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan baseline and Lamb’s primary performance underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$36,872Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District in the July 2026 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote, overcoming multiple allegations of sexual misconduct that surfaced during the campaign. The open seat, vacated by Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid, lies in a district that supported the Republican presidential nominee by about 20 points in 2024 and has consistently delivered strong GOP margins in House races. Lamb benefited from an early endorsement by President Trump and limited Democratic opposition, as Elizabeth Lee captured her party’s nomination but trails significantly in fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safely or solidly Republican. A late scandal escalation, health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan baseline and Lamb’s primary performance underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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