Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open race driven by incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the gubernatorial nomination. The district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index, based on recent presidential results, and Biggs's 60% margin in 2024 continue to anchor trader expectations of a GOP hold. In the July 21 Republican primary, former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds a clear lead in internal polling and carries an endorsement from President Trump, positioning him as the likely nominee against Democratic primary contenders Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee. Recent Democratic debates in early June have highlighted candidate positioning but have not altered the district's structural tilt. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market pricing that reflects the limited path for Democrats in this East Valley seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-05 House Election Winner
AZ-05 House Election Winner
$12,879 Обс.
$12,879 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
15%
$12,879 Обс.
$12,879 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,182 Обс.
81%
Democratic Party
$4,697 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open race driven by incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the gubernatorial nomination. The district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index, based on recent presidential results, and Biggs's 60% margin in 2024 continue to anchor trader expectations of a GOP hold. In the July 21 Republican primary, former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds a clear lead in internal polling and carries an endorsement from President Trump, positioning him as the likely nominee against Democratic primary contenders Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee. Recent Democratic debates in early June have highlighted candidate positioning but have not altered the district's structural tilt. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market pricing that reflects the limited path for Democrats in this East Valley seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,879Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open race driven by incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the gubernatorial nomination. The district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index, based on recent presidential results, and Biggs's 60% margin in 2024 continue to anchor trader expectations of a GOP hold. In the July 21 Republican primary, former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds a clear lead in internal polling and carries an endorsement from President Trump, positioning him as the likely nominee against Democratic primary contenders Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee. Recent Democratic debates in early June have highlighted candidate positioning but have not altered the district's structural tilt. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market pricing that reflects the limited path for Democrats in this East Valley seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,879Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open race driven by incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the gubernatorial nomination. The district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index, based on recent presidential results, and Biggs's 60% margin in 2024 continue to anchor trader expectations of a GOP hold. In the July 21 Republican primary, former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds a clear lead in internal polling and carries an endorsement from President Trump, positioning him as the likely nominee against Democratic primary contenders Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee. Recent Democratic debates in early June have highlighted candidate positioning but have not altered the district's structural tilt. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market pricing that reflects the limited path for Democrats in this East Valley seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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