Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy's strong fundraising—$370,000 cash on hand—and position in a safely Republican district with Cook PVI R+17 underpin trader consensus at 90.5% for the GOP in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race. Following court-imposed redistricting and Rep. Burgess Owens' March retirement announcement, Kennedy shifted into this seat after his 2024 victory, facing a crowded but non-threatening GOP primary field including Pasitale Lupeamanu and Seth Stewart, while Democrats field low-funded Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen. Party conventions on April 25 could solidify nominees ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Odds could shift via GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Kennedy scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$857 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$2,061 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy's strong fundraising—$370,000 cash on hand—and position in a safely Republican district with Cook PVI R+17 underpin trader consensus at 90.5% for the GOP in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race. Following court-imposed redistricting and Rep. Burgess Owens' March retirement announcement, Kennedy shifted into this seat after his 2024 victory, facing a crowded but non-threatening GOP primary field including Pasitale Lupeamanu and Seth Stewart, while Democrats field low-funded Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen. Party conventions on April 25 could solidify nominees ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Odds could shift via GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Kennedy scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,918Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy's strong fundraising—$370,000 cash on hand—and position in a safely Republican district with Cook PVI R+17 underpin trader consensus at 90.5% for the GOP in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race. Following court-imposed redistricting and Rep. Burgess Owens' March retirement announcement, Kennedy shifted into this seat after his 2024 victory, facing a crowded but non-threatening GOP primary field including Pasitale Lupeamanu and Seth Stewart, while Democrats field low-funded Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen. Party conventions on April 25 could solidify nominees ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Odds could shift via GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Kennedy scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,918Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Kennedy's strong fundraising—$370,000 cash on hand—and position in a safely Republican district with Cook PVI R+17 underpin trader consensus at 90.5% for the GOP in Utah's 4th Congressional District House race. Following court-imposed redistricting and Rep. Burgess Owens' March retirement announcement, Kennedy shifted into this seat after his 2024 victory, facing a crowded but non-threatening GOP primary field including Pasitale Lupeamanu and Seth Stewart, while Democrats field low-funded Archie Williams III and Jonny Larsen. Party conventions on April 25 could solidify nominees ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Odds could shift via GOP primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Kennedy scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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