Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85.5% in the TX-04 House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Republican dominance with a Cook PVI of R+16, the 66th most GOP-leaning nationwide. Incumbent Pat Fallon secured easy renomination in the March 3 Republican primary, defeating his challenger 82%-18%, while Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly won his primary 52%-48%; no general election polls exist, but forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Fallon's prior victories exceeded 37-point margins amid 2025 redistricting preserving the partisan lean, bolstered by his $1 million cash-on-hand advantage over Pearce's minimal fundraising. Absent major shifts, early voting begins October 19 ahead of the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-04 House Election Winner
TX-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,656 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$1,842 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85.5% in the TX-04 House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Republican dominance with a Cook PVI of R+16, the 66th most GOP-leaning nationwide. Incumbent Pat Fallon secured easy renomination in the March 3 Republican primary, defeating his challenger 82%-18%, while Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly won his primary 52%-48%; no general election polls exist, but forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Fallon's prior victories exceeded 37-point margins amid 2025 redistricting preserving the partisan lean, bolstered by his $1 million cash-on-hand advantage over Pearce's minimal fundraising. Absent major shifts, early voting begins October 19 ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,498Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85.5% in the TX-04 House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Republican dominance with a Cook PVI of R+16, the 66th most GOP-leaning nationwide. Incumbent Pat Fallon secured easy renomination in the March 3 Republican primary, defeating his challenger 82%-18%, while Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly won his primary 52%-48%; no general election polls exist, but forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Fallon's prior victories exceeded 37-point margins amid 2025 redistricting preserving the partisan lean, bolstered by his $1 million cash-on-hand advantage over Pearce's minimal fundraising. Absent major shifts, early voting begins October 19 ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,498Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 85.5% in the TX-04 House race, reflecting the district's entrenched Republican dominance with a Cook PVI of R+16, the 66th most GOP-leaning nationwide. Incumbent Pat Fallon secured easy renomination in the March 3 Republican primary, defeating his challenger 82%-18%, while Democrat Jason Pearce narrowly won his primary 52%-48%; no general election polls exist, but forecasters like Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Fallon's prior victories exceeded 37-point margins amid 2025 redistricting preserving the partisan lean, bolstered by his $1 million cash-on-hand advantage over Pearce's minimal fundraising. Absent major shifts, early voting begins October 19 ahead of the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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