New York’s 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and the northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent presidential results above 85 percent for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a notable shift when incumbent Adriano Espaillat lost to Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general-election contest on November 3 still centers on the Democratic nominee against Republican opponents. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 96 percent aligns with the district’s voter enrollment, urban demographics, and absence of competitive structural factors. A meaningful challenge would require an unprecedented national partisan swing, major nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for this seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,522 Обс.
$39,522 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$39,522 Обс.
$39,522 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,078 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$12,445 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and the northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent presidential results above 85 percent for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a notable shift when incumbent Adriano Espaillat lost to Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general-election contest on November 3 still centers on the Democratic nominee against Republican opponents. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 96 percent aligns with the district’s voter enrollment, urban demographics, and absence of competitive structural factors. A meaningful challenge would require an unprecedented national partisan swing, major nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,522Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and the northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent presidential results above 85 percent for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a notable shift when incumbent Adriano Espaillat lost to Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general-election contest on November 3 still centers on the Democratic nominee against Republican opponents. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 96 percent aligns with the district’s voter enrollment, urban demographics, and absence of competitive structural factors. A meaningful challenge would require an unprecedented national partisan swing, major nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$39,522Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and the northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent presidential results above 85 percent for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a notable shift when incumbent Adriano Espaillat lost to Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general-election contest on November 3 still centers on the Democratic nominee against Republican opponents. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 96 percent aligns with the district’s voter enrollment, urban demographics, and absence of competitive structural factors. A meaningful challenge would require an unprecedented national partisan swing, major nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for this seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання