Incumbent Republican Mike Johnson, the current Speaker of the House, holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 all-party primary. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in uniform "Safe" or "Solid" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Johnson's substantial fundraising advantage, prior electoral margins exceeding 85%, and endorsements provide structural barriers for Democratic challengers Conrad Cable and Matt Gromlich, as well as intra-party rivals. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the open primary could still shift dynamics before any December runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-04 House Election Winner
LA-04 House Election Winner
$11,997 Обс.
$11,997 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$11,997 Обс.
$11,997 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$3,671 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$8,326 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Johnson, the current Speaker of the House, holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 all-party primary. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in uniform "Safe" or "Solid" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Johnson's substantial fundraising advantage, prior electoral margins exceeding 85%, and endorsements provide structural barriers for Democratic challengers Conrad Cable and Matt Gromlich, as well as intra-party rivals. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the open primary could still shift dynamics before any December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,997Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Johnson, the current Speaker of the House, holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 all-party primary. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in uniform "Safe" or "Solid" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Johnson's substantial fundraising advantage, prior electoral margins exceeding 85%, and endorsements provide structural barriers for Democratic challengers Conrad Cable and Matt Gromlich, as well as intra-party rivals. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the open primary could still shift dynamics before any December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,997Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Johnson, the current Speaker of the House, holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 all-party primary. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in uniform "Safe" or "Solid" ratings from major forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Johnson's substantial fundraising advantage, prior electoral margins exceeding 85%, and endorsements provide structural barriers for Democratic challengers Conrad Cable and Matt Gromlich, as well as intra-party rivals. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the open primary could still shift dynamics before any December runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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