Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with its strong Democratic lean rooted in DeKalb and Gwinnett County demographics and a Cook PVI rating exceeding D+25, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson qualified for an eleventh term on March 2, facing two primary challengers in the May 19 open primary, where his seniority on Judiciary and Transportation committees bolsters his position amid limited Republican opposition. No recent polling or upsets have shifted dynamics, reflecting historical blowout margins for Democrats. Scenarios to challenge this include a divisive Democratic primary yielding a weakened nominee, a major scandal, or an unforeseen national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$13,240 Обс.
$13,240 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$13,240 Обс.
$13,240 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,357 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$4,883 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with its strong Democratic lean rooted in DeKalb and Gwinnett County demographics and a Cook PVI rating exceeding D+25, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson qualified for an eleventh term on March 2, facing two primary challengers in the May 19 open primary, where his seniority on Judiciary and Transportation committees bolsters his position amid limited Republican opposition. No recent polling or upsets have shifted dynamics, reflecting historical blowout margins for Democrats. Scenarios to challenge this include a divisive Democratic primary yielding a weakened nominee, a major scandal, or an unforeseen national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,240Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with its strong Democratic lean rooted in DeKalb and Gwinnett County demographics and a Cook PVI rating exceeding D+25, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson qualified for an eleventh term on March 2, facing two primary challengers in the May 19 open primary, where his seniority on Judiciary and Transportation committees bolsters his position amid limited Republican opposition. No recent polling or upsets have shifted dynamics, reflecting historical blowout margins for Democrats. Scenarios to challenge this include a divisive Democratic primary yielding a weakened nominee, a major scandal, or an unforeseen national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,240Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th Congressional District, with its strong Democratic lean rooted in DeKalb and Gwinnett County demographics and a Cook PVI rating exceeding D+25, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson qualified for an eleventh term on March 2, facing two primary challengers in the May 19 open primary, where his seniority on Judiciary and Transportation committees bolsters his position amid limited Republican opposition. No recent polling or upsets have shifted dynamics, reflecting historical blowout margins for Democrats. Scenarios to challenge this include a divisive Democratic primary yielding a weakened nominee, a major scandal, or an unforeseen national Republican wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання