Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 House race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, backed by strong name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared to his opponent's roughly $90,000, and consistent ratings of the mid-Hudson Valley district as Solid Democratic by forecasters. Recent polling shows him ahead by double digits, reflecting voter patterns from his prior victories despite the district's narrower presidential lean. Challenger Jacqueline Auringer, a businesswoman endorsed by state Republicans and local figures, has focused on issues like affordability and accountability while trading attacks with Ryan over campaign contributions and pledges. Trader consensus reflected in current odds accounts for these structural advantages for the incumbent, though shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments, a major scandal, or unusually low turnout in the weeks before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-18 House Election Winner
NY-18 House Election Winner
$42,968 Обс.
$42,968 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
7%
$42,968 Обс.
$42,968 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
$33,591 Обс.
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
$9,377 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 House race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, backed by strong name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared to his opponent's roughly $90,000, and consistent ratings of the mid-Hudson Valley district as Solid Democratic by forecasters. Recent polling shows him ahead by double digits, reflecting voter patterns from his prior victories despite the district's narrower presidential lean. Challenger Jacqueline Auringer, a businesswoman endorsed by state Republicans and local figures, has focused on issues like affordability and accountability while trading attacks with Ryan over campaign contributions and pledges. Trader consensus reflected in current odds accounts for these structural advantages for the incumbent, though shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments, a major scandal, or unusually low turnout in the weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$42,968Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 House race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, backed by strong name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared to his opponent's roughly $90,000, and consistent ratings of the mid-Hudson Valley district as Solid Democratic by forecasters. Recent polling shows him ahead by double digits, reflecting voter patterns from his prior victories despite the district's narrower presidential lean. Challenger Jacqueline Auringer, a businesswoman endorsed by state Republicans and local figures, has focused on issues like affordability and accountability while trading attacks with Ryan over campaign contributions and pledges. Trader consensus reflected in current odds accounts for these structural advantages for the incumbent, though shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments, a major scandal, or unusually low turnout in the weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$42,968Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 House race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, backed by strong name recognition, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.7 million compared to his opponent's roughly $90,000, and consistent ratings of the mid-Hudson Valley district as Solid Democratic by forecasters. Recent polling shows him ahead by double digits, reflecting voter patterns from his prior victories despite the district's narrower presidential lean. Challenger Jacqueline Auringer, a businesswoman endorsed by state Republicans and local figures, has focused on issues like affordability and accountability while trading attacks with Ryan over campaign contributions and pledges. Trader consensus reflected in current odds accounts for these structural advantages for the incumbent, though shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments, a major scandal, or unusually low turnout in the weeks before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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