Redistricting passed by Tennessee Republicans in May 2026 redrew the 9th district, splitting Memphis and shifting it to an R+9 partisan lean that Trump carried by 21 points in 2024 under the new lines. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen retired rather than run in the altered seat, opening the race. State Sen. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination on August 6 with former President Trump’s endorsement, while state Rep. Justin Pearson won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings now classify the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the map change and resulting candidate matchups have positioned the Republican nominee as the clear favorite.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$35,119 Обс.
$35,119 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
16%
$35,119 Обс.
$35,119 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,220 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$13,899 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting passed by Tennessee Republicans in May 2026 redrew the 9th district, splitting Memphis and shifting it to an R+9 partisan lean that Trump carried by 21 points in 2024 under the new lines. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen retired rather than run in the altered seat, opening the race. State Sen. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination on August 6 with former President Trump’s endorsement, while state Rep. Justin Pearson won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings now classify the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the map change and resulting candidate matchups have positioned the Republican nominee as the clear favorite.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,119Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting passed by Tennessee Republicans in May 2026 redrew the 9th district, splitting Memphis and shifting it to an R+9 partisan lean that Trump carried by 21 points in 2024 under the new lines. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen retired rather than run in the altered seat, opening the race. State Sen. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination on August 6 with former President Trump’s endorsement, while state Rep. Justin Pearson won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings now classify the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the map change and resulting candidate matchups have positioned the Republican nominee as the clear favorite.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,119Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting passed by Tennessee Republicans in May 2026 redrew the 9th district, splitting Memphis and shifting it to an R+9 partisan lean that Trump carried by 21 points in 2024 under the new lines. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen retired rather than run in the altered seat, opening the race. State Sen. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination on August 6 with former President Trump’s endorsement, while state Rep. Justin Pearson won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan ratings now classify the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the map change and resulting candidate matchups have positioned the Republican nominee as the clear favorite.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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