Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, with a D+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 70%+ Democratic general election margins under incumbent Steve Cohen, anchors trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party hold in the November 2026 House race. Recent March polling showed a tight Democratic primary contest between Cohen (45%) and challenger State Rep. Justin J. Pearson (44%), fueled by Pearson's progressive profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three expulsion saga, yet Cohen's $1.98 million cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals'. Weak Republican primary field, headlined by past nominee Charlotte Bergmann's 25-26% showings, reinforces the imbalance. Scenarios shifting odds include primary bitterness splintering turnout or a national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor the Democratic nominee; watch the August 6 primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$10,939 Обс.
$10,939 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$10,939 Обс.
$10,939 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,515 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$6,424 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, with a D+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 70%+ Democratic general election margins under incumbent Steve Cohen, anchors trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party hold in the November 2026 House race. Recent March polling showed a tight Democratic primary contest between Cohen (45%) and challenger State Rep. Justin J. Pearson (44%), fueled by Pearson's progressive profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three expulsion saga, yet Cohen's $1.98 million cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals'. Weak Republican primary field, headlined by past nominee Charlotte Bergmann's 25-26% showings, reinforces the imbalance. Scenarios shifting odds include primary bitterness splintering turnout or a national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor the Democratic nominee; watch the August 6 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,939Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, with a D+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 70%+ Democratic general election margins under incumbent Steve Cohen, anchors trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party hold in the November 2026 House race. Recent March polling showed a tight Democratic primary contest between Cohen (45%) and challenger State Rep. Justin J. Pearson (44%), fueled by Pearson's progressive profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three expulsion saga, yet Cohen's $1.98 million cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals'. Weak Republican primary field, headlined by past nominee Charlotte Bergmann's 25-26% showings, reinforces the imbalance. Scenarios shifting odds include primary bitterness splintering turnout or a national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor the Democratic nominee; watch the August 6 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$10,939Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, with a D+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent 70%+ Democratic general election margins under incumbent Steve Cohen, anchors trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party hold in the November 2026 House race. Recent March polling showed a tight Democratic primary contest between Cohen (45%) and challenger State Rep. Justin J. Pearson (44%), fueled by Pearson's progressive profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three expulsion saga, yet Cohen's $1.98 million cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals'. Weak Republican primary field, headlined by past nominee Charlotte Bergmann's 25-26% showings, reinforces the imbalance. Scenarios shifting odds include primary bitterness splintering turnout or a national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor the Democratic nominee; watch the August 6 primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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