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Політика·Первинні

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Первинні

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 72%

Mariah Lancaster 8.2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 4.7%

Tram Nguyen 4.6%

Polymarket

$35,251 Обс.

Dan Koh 72%

Mariah Lancaster 8.2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito 4.7%

Tram Nguyen 4.6%

Polymarket

$35,251 Обс.

Dan Koh

$4,060 Обс.

72%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,881 Обс.

8%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,164 Обс.

5%

Tram Nguyen

$4,160 Обс.

5%

Dominick Pangallo

$5,955 Обс.

2%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,025 Обс.

2%

John Beccia

$1,724 Обс.

2%

Rachel Creemers

$2,074 Обс.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,398 Обс.

1%

Seth Moulton

$1,800 Обс.

1%

Kevin Larivee

$1,449 Обс.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,562 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District on September 1, 2026, trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 72.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant early fundraising—over $2 million raised, including $204,000 in January alone, far exceeding rivals' combined totals—and high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor Marty Walsh, IBEW Local 2222, and ex-Rep. John Tierney. As the first candidate to qualify for the ballot in late March with over 2,000 signatures, Koh's Biden administration experience bolsters his frontrunner status in a fragmented nine-candidate field. Mariah Lancaster trails at 8.2% amid lower fundraising, while others like Tram Nguyen and John Beccia, despite self-loans and momentum claims in April reports, remain distant; no public polls yet, leaving markets as the key sentiment gauge ahead of forums and potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$35,251
Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District on September 1, 2026, trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 72.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant early fundraising—over $2 million raised, including $204,000 in January alone, far exceeding rivals' combined totals—and high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor Marty Walsh, IBEW Local 2222, and ex-Rep. John Tierney. As the first candidate to qualify for the ballot in late March with over 2,000 signatures, Koh's Biden administration experience bolsters his frontrunner status in a fragmented nine-candidate field. Mariah Lancaster trails at 8.2% amid lower fundraising, while others like Tram Nguyen and John Beccia, despite self-loans and momentum claims in April reports, remain distant; no public polls yet, leaving markets as the key sentiment gauge ahead of forums and potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$35,251
Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Dan Koh» з 72%, далі «Mariah Lancaster» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $35.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Dan Koh» з 72%. Наступний — «Mariah Lancaster» з 8%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.