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Політика·Австралія

Next Premier of Victoria

icon for Next Premier of Victoria
Політика·Австралія

Next Premier of Victoria

Jess Wilson 65%

Ben Carroll 20%

Warren Pickering 11%

Jacinta Allan 4.3%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$10,557 Обс.

Jess Wilson 65%

Ben Carroll 20%

Warren Pickering 11%

Jacinta Allan 4.3%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$10,557 Обс.

icon for Jess Wilson

Jess Wilson

$917 Обс.

65%

icon for Ben Carroll

Ben Carroll

$623 Обс.

20%

icon for Warren Pickering

Warren Pickering

$978 Обс.

11%

icon for Jacinta Allan

Jacinta Allan

$192 Обс.

4%

icon for Sonya Kilkenny

Sonya Kilkenny

$100 Обс.

4%

icon for Steve Dimopoulos

Steve Dimopoulos

$100 Обс.

4%

icon for Gabrielle Williams

Gabrielle Williams

$50 Обс.

3%

icon for David Southwick

David Southwick

$50 Обс.

3%

icon for Emma Kealy

Emma Kealy

$1,028 Обс.

3%

icon for Danny O'Brien

Danny O'Brien

$1,303 Обс.

<1%

icon for Jaclyn Symes

Jaclyn Symes

$1,028 Обс.

<1%

icon for Brad Battin

Brad Battin

$1,028 Обс.

<1%

icon for Sam Groth

Sam Groth

$1,066 Обс.

<1%

icon for James Newbury

James Newbury

$1,066 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ellen Sandell

Ellen Sandell

$1,028 Обс.

<1%

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jess Wilson leads the market for Victoria’s next premier at 64.5 percent implied probability, reflecting consistent Coalition advantages in recent two-party-preferred polling ahead of the 28 November 2026 state election. Labor’s late-July leadership change, which installed Ben Carroll after Jacinta Allan’s resignation amid caucus pressure and construction-sector concerns, has not reversed the Coalition’s position in surveys that show primary votes for Labor, the Coalition, and One Nation clustered near 25 percent each. Traders price in preference flows that favor the Liberals under Wilson, the first woman to lead the party, while assigning lower odds to Carroll, One Nation’s Warren Pickering, and other listed candidates. Upcoming polls and campaign developments on cost-of-living and integrity issues could still shift positioning before election day.

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$10,557
Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.vic.gov.au/premier

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jess Wilson leads the market for Victoria’s next premier at 64.5 percent implied probability, reflecting consistent Coalition advantages in recent two-party-preferred polling ahead of the 28 November 2026 state election. Labor’s late-July leadership change, which installed Ben Carroll after Jacinta Allan’s resignation amid caucus pressure and construction-sector concerns, has not reversed the Coalition’s position in surveys that show primary votes for Labor, the Coalition, and One Nation clustered near 25 percent each. Traders price in preference flows that favor the Liberals under Wilson, the first woman to lead the party, while assigning lower odds to Carroll, One Nation’s Warren Pickering, and other listed candidates. Upcoming polls and campaign developments on cost-of-living and integrity issues could still shift positioning before election day.

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$10,557
Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.vic.gov.au/premier

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Пов'язане

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Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

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Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?

91%
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Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?

78%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Premier of Victoria» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jess Wilson» з 65%, далі «Ben Carroll» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Premier of Victoria» згенерував $10.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Premier of Victoria», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Premier of Victoria» — «Jess Wilson» з 65%. Наступний — «Ben Carroll» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Premier of Victoria» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.