Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around 95 percent probability of victory over Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent double-digit polling margins through late August, including 16- to 25-point advantages in recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac, stem from Shapiro’s strong approval ratings near 60 percent, broad name recognition as sitting governor, and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $18 million compared to Garrity’s under $2 million. Garrity’s limited visibility among voters further constrains her path. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
$49,111 Обс.
$49,111 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
97%
Republican
2%
$49,111 Обс.
$49,111 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$7,470 Обс.
97%
Republican
$41,640 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around 95 percent probability of victory over Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent double-digit polling margins through late August, including 16- to 25-point advantages in recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac, stem from Shapiro’s strong approval ratings near 60 percent, broad name recognition as sitting governor, and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $18 million compared to Garrity’s under $2 million. Garrity’s limited visibility among voters further constrains her path. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$49,111Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around 95 percent probability of victory over Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent double-digit polling margins through late August, including 16- to 25-point advantages in recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac, stem from Shapiro’s strong approval ratings near 60 percent, broad name recognition as sitting governor, and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $18 million compared to Garrity’s under $2 million. Garrity’s limited visibility among voters further constrains her path. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$49,111Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus around 95 percent probability of victory over Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent double-digit polling margins through late August, including 16- to 25-point advantages in recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac, stem from Shapiro’s strong approval ratings near 60 percent, broad name recognition as sitting governor, and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $18 million compared to Garrity’s under $2 million. Garrity’s limited visibility among voters further constrains her path. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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