Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is term-limited, opening a crowded 2026 Florida gubernatorial contest with primaries in August and the general election on November 3. Recent Emerson College polls from early April show U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46% and topping general matchups against Democrats David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), while other surveys like Keystone Analytics and RON Polling reveal GOP edges amid undecided voters. Republicans' registration advantage and Florida's rightward electoral shift since 2020 underpin trader consensus pricing a Republican win at 73%, though tightening polls signal competitiveness if Democrats consolidate behind a strong nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$14,209 Обс.
$14,209 Обс.

Republican
73%

Democrat
26%
$14,209 Обс.
$14,209 Обс.

Republican
73%

Democrat
26%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is term-limited, opening a crowded 2026 Florida gubernatorial contest with primaries in August and the general election on November 3. Recent Emerson College polls from early April show U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46% and topping general matchups against Democrats David Jolly (44%-39%) and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (45%-36%), while other surveys like Keystone Analytics and RON Polling reveal GOP edges amid undecided voters. Republicans' registration advantage and Florida's rightward electoral shift since 2020 underpin trader consensus pricing a Republican win at 73%, though tightening polls signal competitiveness if Democrats consolidate behind a strong nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання