Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, well ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 12.5%. This positioning stems from Hobbs' consistent polling leads of 5–13 points in recent surveys, driven by strong Democratic voter consolidation at 86% support and notable crossover from independents and women. Her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced bipartisan messaging on issues like border security, housing, and costs. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has faced weaker Republican turnout and enthusiasm, with polls showing him at only 70–75% of his party's vote. Hobbs' fundraising edge and early advertising further bolster her position heading into the final stretch.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоArizona Governor Election Winner
Arizona Governor Election Winner
$67,474 Обс.
$67,474 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
88%
Andy Biggs (R)
13%
$67,474 Обс.
$67,474 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$31,230 Обс.
88%
Andy Biggs (R)
$36,244 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, well ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 12.5%. This positioning stems from Hobbs' consistent polling leads of 5–13 points in recent surveys, driven by strong Democratic voter consolidation at 86% support and notable crossover from independents and women. Her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced bipartisan messaging on issues like border security, housing, and costs. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has faced weaker Republican turnout and enthusiasm, with polls showing him at only 70–75% of his party's vote. Hobbs' fundraising edge and early advertising further bolster her position heading into the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$67,474Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, well ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 12.5%. This positioning stems from Hobbs' consistent polling leads of 5–13 points in recent surveys, driven by strong Democratic voter consolidation at 86% support and notable crossover from independents and women. Her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced bipartisan messaging on issues like border security, housing, and costs. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has faced weaker Republican turnout and enthusiasm, with polls showing him at only 70–75% of his party's vote. Hobbs' fundraising edge and early advertising further bolster her position heading into the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$67,474Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, well ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 12.5%. This positioning stems from Hobbs' consistent polling leads of 5–13 points in recent surveys, driven by strong Democratic voter consolidation at 86% support and notable crossover from independents and women. Her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced bipartisan messaging on issues like border security, housing, and costs. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has faced weaker Republican turnout and enthusiasm, with polls showing him at only 70–75% of his party's vote. Hobbs' fundraising edge and early advertising further bolster her position heading into the final stretch.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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