Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race against Republican Dan Cox due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Kamala Harris's 28-point margin in 2024, combined with Moore's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. The June 2026 primaries confirmed the rematch, with Moore securing his nomination by a wide margin and Cox prevailing in a crowded Republican field. A late-July poll showed Moore leading 58% to 31%, consistent with forecasts rating the contest solid Democratic and projecting a double-digit victory margin. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected turnout surges, major economic developments affecting affordability perceptions, or late national political events, though the current polling gap and state fundamentals limit realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMaryland Governor Election Winner
Maryland Governor Election Winner
$22,211 Обс.
$22,211 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Wes Moore (D)
96%
Dan Cox (R)
3%
$22,211 Обс.
$22,211 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Wes Moore (D)
$13,113 Обс.
96%
Dan Cox (R)
$9,098 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race against Republican Dan Cox due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Kamala Harris's 28-point margin in 2024, combined with Moore's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. The June 2026 primaries confirmed the rematch, with Moore securing his nomination by a wide margin and Cox prevailing in a crowded Republican field. A late-July poll showed Moore leading 58% to 31%, consistent with forecasts rating the contest solid Democratic and projecting a double-digit victory margin. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected turnout surges, major economic developments affecting affordability perceptions, or late national political events, though the current polling gap and state fundamentals limit realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$22,211Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race against Republican Dan Cox due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Kamala Harris's 28-point margin in 2024, combined with Moore's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. The June 2026 primaries confirmed the rematch, with Moore securing his nomination by a wide margin and Cox prevailing in a crowded Republican field. A late-July poll showed Moore leading 58% to 31%, consistent with forecasts rating the contest solid Democratic and projecting a double-digit victory margin. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected turnout surges, major economic developments affecting affordability perceptions, or late national political events, though the current polling gap and state fundamentals limit realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$22,211Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race against Republican Dan Cox due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Kamala Harris's 28-point margin in 2024, combined with Moore's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. The June 2026 primaries confirmed the rematch, with Moore securing his nomination by a wide margin and Cox prevailing in a crowded Republican field. A late-July poll showed Moore leading 58% to 31%, consistent with forecasts rating the contest solid Democratic and projecting a double-digit victory margin. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in the state. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected turnout surges, major economic developments affecting affordability perceptions, or late national political events, though the current polling gap and state fundamentals limit realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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