Roy Cooper holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina Senate race due to his sustained polling advantage of 5–14 points in recent surveys, driven by strong name recognition from two terms as governor, consistent support among independents, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $40 million. The open seat vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis has drawn forecaster ratings of Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting Cooper’s broad appeal on issues like affordability amid relatively lower visibility for Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Traders price the outcome heavily toward Cooper based on these structural factors and historical patterns for popular statewide Democrats in the battleground state. Late-campaign developments, such as shifts in national conditions, turnout surges, or major endorsements, remain the primary variables that could realistically compress the margin before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNorth Carolina Senate Election Winner
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
$102,840 Обс.
$102,840 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
9%
$102,840 Обс.
$102,840 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
$43,036 Обс.
92%
Michael Whatley (R)
$59,804 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina Senate race due to his sustained polling advantage of 5–14 points in recent surveys, driven by strong name recognition from two terms as governor, consistent support among independents, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $40 million. The open seat vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis has drawn forecaster ratings of Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting Cooper’s broad appeal on issues like affordability amid relatively lower visibility for Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Traders price the outcome heavily toward Cooper based on these structural factors and historical patterns for popular statewide Democrats in the battleground state. Late-campaign developments, such as shifts in national conditions, turnout surges, or major endorsements, remain the primary variables that could realistically compress the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$102,840Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina Senate race due to his sustained polling advantage of 5–14 points in recent surveys, driven by strong name recognition from two terms as governor, consistent support among independents, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $40 million. The open seat vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis has drawn forecaster ratings of Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting Cooper’s broad appeal on issues like affordability amid relatively lower visibility for Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Traders price the outcome heavily toward Cooper based on these structural factors and historical patterns for popular statewide Democrats in the battleground state. Late-campaign developments, such as shifts in national conditions, turnout surges, or major endorsements, remain the primary variables that could realistically compress the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$102,840Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina Senate race due to his sustained polling advantage of 5–14 points in recent surveys, driven by strong name recognition from two terms as governor, consistent support among independents, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $40 million. The open seat vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Thom Tillis has drawn forecaster ratings of Lean or Tilt Democratic, reflecting Cooper’s broad appeal on issues like affordability amid relatively lower visibility for Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Traders price the outcome heavily toward Cooper based on these structural factors and historical patterns for popular statewide Democrats in the battleground state. Late-campaign developments, such as shifts in national conditions, turnout surges, or major endorsements, remain the primary variables that could realistically compress the margin before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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