Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent in a state with a wide Democratic registration edge and no Republican statewide victory since 2002. Recent Siena and other polls show her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 10 points or more among likely voters, supported by her fundraising advantage, policy record on child care expansion and school smartphone restrictions, and consistent backing in New York City. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has narrowed gaps in some suburban and upstate surveys but remains well behind overall. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for the office, though a late campaign shift from economic pressures, turnout surprises, or major developments could still compress the margin before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew York Governor Election Winner
New York Governor Election Winner
$107,377 Обс.
$107,377 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
94%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
6%
$107,377 Обс.
$107,377 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
$49,688 Обс.
94%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
$57,688 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent in a state with a wide Democratic registration edge and no Republican statewide victory since 2002. Recent Siena and other polls show her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 10 points or more among likely voters, supported by her fundraising advantage, policy record on child care expansion and school smartphone restrictions, and consistent backing in New York City. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has narrowed gaps in some suburban and upstate surveys but remains well behind overall. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for the office, though a late campaign shift from economic pressures, turnout surprises, or major developments could still compress the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$107,377Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent in a state with a wide Democratic registration edge and no Republican statewide victory since 2002. Recent Siena and other polls show her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 10 points or more among likely voters, supported by her fundraising advantage, policy record on child care expansion and school smartphone restrictions, and consistent backing in New York City. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has narrowed gaps in some suburban and upstate surveys but remains well behind overall. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for the office, though a late campaign shift from economic pressures, turnout surprises, or major developments could still compress the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$107,377Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race as the Democratic incumbent in a state with a wide Democratic registration edge and no Republican statewide victory since 2002. Recent Siena and other polls show her leading Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 10 points or more among likely voters, supported by her fundraising advantage, policy record on child care expansion and school smartphone restrictions, and consistent backing in New York City. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, has narrowed gaps in some suburban and upstate surveys but remains well behind overall. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for the office, though a late campaign shift from economic pressures, turnout surprises, or major developments could still compress the margin before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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