Open seat in Georgia's 1st Congressional District—a safely Republican seat with R+8 partisan lean and past GOP general election margins exceeding 20 points—positions the Republican Party at 77% trader consensus for victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Rep. Buddy Carter's May 2025 Senate bid created the vacancy, drawing six GOP primary contenders led in fundraising by James Kingston ($1.8 million raised) and Patrick Farrell ($646,000), dwarfing Democratic rivals ahead of the May 19 primary. Fragmented eight-candidate Democratic field and historical base rates keep Democrats at 12.5%, with no polls showing competitiveness despite the crowded race. Possible June 16 runoff looms for top primary finishers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGA-01 House Election Winner
GA-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
13%
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Open seat in Georgia's 1st Congressional District—a safely Republican seat with R+8 partisan lean and past GOP general election margins exceeding 20 points—positions the Republican Party at 77% trader consensus for victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Rep. Buddy Carter's May 2025 Senate bid created the vacancy, drawing six GOP primary contenders led in fundraising by James Kingston ($1.8 million raised) and Patrick Farrell ($646,000), dwarfing Democratic rivals ahead of the May 19 primary. Fragmented eight-candidate Democratic field and historical base rates keep Democrats at 12.5%, with no polls showing competitiveness despite the crowded race. Possible June 16 runoff looms for top primary finishers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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