Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, the moderate incumbent, holds a narrow 52.5% edge over Democrat Bob Harvie in the 2026 PA-01 general election market, reflecting a closely contested suburban district centered in Bucks County. Harvie secured the Democratic nomination after the May primaries, bringing county commissioner experience and local recognition into a matchup against Fitzpatrick, who advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent polling averages show the candidates within single digits, consistent with the district's swing character and past narrow margins. Trader sentiment remains balanced due to midterm turnout patterns, suburban voter priorities on economic and local issues, and the absence of major campaign disruptions since the primaries. Developments such as late-cycle polling shifts, candidate debates, or national political events could widen the gap before November voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-01 House Election Winner
PA-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
52%
Democratic Party
45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$2,001 Обс.
52%
Democratic Party
$1,418 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, the moderate incumbent, holds a narrow 52.5% edge over Democrat Bob Harvie in the 2026 PA-01 general election market, reflecting a closely contested suburban district centered in Bucks County. Harvie secured the Democratic nomination after the May primaries, bringing county commissioner experience and local recognition into a matchup against Fitzpatrick, who advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent polling averages show the candidates within single digits, consistent with the district's swing character and past narrow margins. Trader sentiment remains balanced due to midterm turnout patterns, suburban voter priorities on economic and local issues, and the absence of major campaign disruptions since the primaries. Developments such as late-cycle polling shifts, candidate debates, or national political events could widen the gap before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,419Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, the moderate incumbent, holds a narrow 52.5% edge over Democrat Bob Harvie in the 2026 PA-01 general election market, reflecting a closely contested suburban district centered in Bucks County. Harvie secured the Democratic nomination after the May primaries, bringing county commissioner experience and local recognition into a matchup against Fitzpatrick, who advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent polling averages show the candidates within single digits, consistent with the district's swing character and past narrow margins. Trader sentiment remains balanced due to midterm turnout patterns, suburban voter priorities on economic and local issues, and the absence of major campaign disruptions since the primaries. Developments such as late-cycle polling shifts, candidate debates, or national political events could widen the gap before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,419Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, the moderate incumbent, holds a narrow 52.5% edge over Democrat Bob Harvie in the 2026 PA-01 general election market, reflecting a closely contested suburban district centered in Bucks County. Harvie secured the Democratic nomination after the May primaries, bringing county commissioner experience and local recognition into a matchup against Fitzpatrick, who advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent polling averages show the candidates within single digits, consistent with the district's swing character and past narrow margins. Trader sentiment remains balanced due to midterm turnout patterns, suburban voter priorities on economic and local issues, and the absence of major campaign disruptions since the primaries. Developments such as late-cycle polling shifts, candidate debates, or national political events could widen the gap before November voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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