Florida's 9th Congressional District features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto facing Republican nominee Dan Green in the November 2026 general election. Recent redistricting shifted the seat toward a Republican lean by incorporating more conservative rural counties such as Highlands, Okeechobee, and Indian River while reducing its prior Latino population share. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. An internal poll conducted shortly after the August 18 Republican primary showed Soto and Green tied at 41% among likely voters. Green's narrow primary victory in a crowded field and the district's updated partisan voting index contribute to trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome over the Democratic incumbent's reelection bid.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$19,547 Обс.
$19,547 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
35%
$19,547 Обс.
$19,547 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,445 Обс.
63%
Democratic Party
$8,102 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th Congressional District features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto facing Republican nominee Dan Green in the November 2026 general election. Recent redistricting shifted the seat toward a Republican lean by incorporating more conservative rural counties such as Highlands, Okeechobee, and Indian River while reducing its prior Latino population share. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. An internal poll conducted shortly after the August 18 Republican primary showed Soto and Green tied at 41% among likely voters. Green's narrow primary victory in a crowded field and the district's updated partisan voting index contribute to trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome over the Democratic incumbent's reelection bid.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,547Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th Congressional District features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto facing Republican nominee Dan Green in the November 2026 general election. Recent redistricting shifted the seat toward a Republican lean by incorporating more conservative rural counties such as Highlands, Okeechobee, and Indian River while reducing its prior Latino population share. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. An internal poll conducted shortly after the August 18 Republican primary showed Soto and Green tied at 41% among likely voters. Green's narrow primary victory in a crowded field and the district's updated partisan voting index contribute to trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome over the Democratic incumbent's reelection bid.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,547Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th Congressional District features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto facing Republican nominee Dan Green in the November 2026 general election. Recent redistricting shifted the seat toward a Republican lean by incorporating more conservative rural counties such as Highlands, Okeechobee, and Indian River while reducing its prior Latino population share. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest as Likely or Lean Republican. An internal poll conducted shortly after the August 18 Republican primary showed Soto and Green tied at 41% among likely voters. Green's narrow primary victory in a crowded field and the district's updated partisan voting index contribute to trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome over the Democratic incumbent's reelection bid.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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