Florida's 9th congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking reelection against Republican challengers in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting enacted in April 2026 shifted the district's partisan balance rightward, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and prompting ratings of "Likely Republican" from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the filing deadline set for June 12. These structural changes, rather than candidate-specific developments, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 58.5 percent implied probability over the Democratic Party at 41 percent. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$13,339 Обс.
$13,339 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
42%
$13,339 Обс.
$13,339 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,113 Обс.
61%
Democratic Party
$5,227 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking reelection against Republican challengers in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting enacted in April 2026 shifted the district's partisan balance rightward, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and prompting ratings of "Likely Republican" from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the filing deadline set for June 12. These structural changes, rather than candidate-specific developments, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 58.5 percent implied probability over the Democratic Party at 41 percent. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,339Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking reelection against Republican challengers in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting enacted in April 2026 shifted the district's partisan balance rightward, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and prompting ratings of "Likely Republican" from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the filing deadline set for June 12. These structural changes, rather than candidate-specific developments, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 58.5 percent implied probability over the Democratic Party at 41 percent. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,339Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district race features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking reelection against Republican challengers in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting enacted in April 2026 shifted the district's partisan balance rightward, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and prompting ratings of "Likely Republican" from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the filing deadline set for June 12. These structural changes, rather than candidate-specific developments, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 58.5 percent implied probability over the Democratic Party at 41 percent. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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