Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera's 41-42 percent in California's 51st congressional district, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and voter registration patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jacobs benefits from incumbency and established fundraising in a San Diego-area seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national political shift or unforeseen developments such as a candidate withdrawal or major scandal to overcome these structural factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-51 House Election Winner
CA-51 House Election Winner
$28,957 Обс.
$28,957 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$28,957 Обс.
$28,957 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,910 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$14,046 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera's 41-42 percent in California's 51st congressional district, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and voter registration patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jacobs benefits from incumbency and established fundraising in a San Diego-area seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national political shift or unforeseen developments such as a candidate withdrawal or major scandal to overcome these structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,957Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera's 41-42 percent in California's 51st congressional district, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and voter registration patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jacobs benefits from incumbency and established fundraising in a San Diego-area seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national political shift or unforeseen developments such as a candidate withdrawal or major scandal to overcome these structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,957Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 54 percent of the vote against Republican Ricardo Cabrera's 41-42 percent in California's 51st congressional district, setting up a general election matchup on November 3. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and voter registration patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jacobs benefits from incumbency and established fundraising in a San Diego-area seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national political shift or unforeseen developments such as a candidate withdrawal or major scandal to overcome these structural factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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