Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in the Connecticut 4th District race due to his long tenure since 2009, consistent reelection margins including 61 percent in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, and the district's Democratic lean in southwestern Connecticut. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Michael Goldstein, who won the August Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the absence of recent polling shifts. Traders' implied probability aligns with these factors, though late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$47,531 Обс.
$47,531 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Himes (D)
96%
Michael Goldstein (R)
4%
$47,531 Обс.
$47,531 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Himes (D)
$21,869 Обс.
96%
Michael Goldstein (R)
$25,662 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in the Connecticut 4th District race due to his long tenure since 2009, consistent reelection margins including 61 percent in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, and the district's Democratic lean in southwestern Connecticut. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Michael Goldstein, who won the August Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the absence of recent polling shifts. Traders' implied probability aligns with these factors, though late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,531Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in the Connecticut 4th District race due to his long tenure since 2009, consistent reelection margins including 61 percent in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, and the district's Democratic lean in southwestern Connecticut. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Michael Goldstein, who won the August Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the absence of recent polling shifts. Traders' implied probability aligns with these factors, though late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$47,531Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in the Connecticut 4th District race due to his long tenure since 2009, consistent reelection margins including 61 percent in 2024 against the same Republican opponent, and the district's Democratic lean in southwestern Connecticut. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Michael Goldstein, who won the August Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the absence of recent polling shifts. Traders' implied probability aligns with these factors, though late developments such as a national partisan wave, candidate health events, or major scandals could still alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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