Connecticut’s 4th congressional district, anchored in affluent Fairfield County suburbs including Stamford and Greenwich, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Jim Himes since 2008. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, citing the absence of competitive Republican challengers and limited primary opposition on the Democratic side. Filing deadlines have closed with Himes facing only token intra-party competition, while Republican primary candidates remain low-profile and underfunded. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats in the district, and the lack of recent polling or events suggesting a shift. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain rare in this safely held seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$33,995 Обс.
$33,995 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$33,995 Обс.
$33,995 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,042 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$19,953 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district, anchored in affluent Fairfield County suburbs including Stamford and Greenwich, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Jim Himes since 2008. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, citing the absence of competitive Republican challengers and limited primary opposition on the Democratic side. Filing deadlines have closed with Himes facing only token intra-party competition, while Republican primary candidates remain low-profile and underfunded. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats in the district, and the lack of recent polling or events suggesting a shift. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain rare in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,995Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district, anchored in affluent Fairfield County suburbs including Stamford and Greenwich, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Jim Himes since 2008. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, citing the absence of competitive Republican challengers and limited primary opposition on the Democratic side. Filing deadlines have closed with Himes facing only token intra-party competition, while Republican primary candidates remain low-profile and underfunded. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats in the district, and the lack of recent polling or events suggesting a shift. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain rare in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$33,995Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 4th congressional district, anchored in affluent Fairfield County suburbs including Stamford and Greenwich, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Jim Himes since 2008. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, citing the absence of competitive Republican challengers and limited primary opposition on the Democratic side. Filing deadlines have closed with Himes facing only token intra-party competition, while Republican primary candidates remain low-profile and underfunded. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats in the district, and the lack of recent polling or events suggesting a shift. A late-breaking scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though such developments remain rare in this safely held seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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