Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, which left its northeast boundaries largely unchanged. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured 78% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while Democratic primary candidates have not emerged with notable fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index near R+29 and consistent historical margins. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A late primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this region based on past cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$18,297 Обс.
$18,297 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
5%
$18,297 Обс.
$18,297 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,088 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$5,209 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, which left its northeast boundaries largely unchanged. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured 78% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while Democratic primary candidates have not emerged with notable fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index near R+29 and consistent historical margins. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A late primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this region based on past cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,297Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, which left its northeast boundaries largely unchanged. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured 78% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while Democratic primary candidates have not emerged with notable fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index near R+29 and consistent historical margins. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A late primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this region based on past cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,297Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, which left its northeast boundaries largely unchanged. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured 78% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while Democratic primary candidates have not emerged with notable fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index near R+29 and consistent historical margins. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A late primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this region based on past cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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