Florida's 21st congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its R+7 partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Incumbent Representative Brian Mast, first elected in 2016, won reelection in 2024 by a 61.8% to 38.2% margin against the Democratic challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing, yet no polling or fundraising shifts indicate a viable threat to the Republican hold. National midterm dynamics and generic ballot trends have not altered the district's structural advantage for the GOP nominee at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 21st congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its R+7 partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Incumbent Representative Brian Mast, first elected in 2016, won reelection in 2024 by a 61.8% to 38.2% margin against the Democratic challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing, yet no polling or fundraising shifts indicate a viable threat to the Republican hold. National midterm dynamics and generic ballot trends have not altered the district's structural advantage for the GOP nominee at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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