The solidly Republican character of Texas’s 2nd congressional district drives the current trader consensus, with Republican nominee Steve Toth positioned as the heavy favorite following his March 2026 primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history, partisan registration edge, and performance in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie, who advanced unopposed in the March primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. With the November 2026 general election still months away and no major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported, the implied probabilities reflect these durable district fundamentals rather than short-term events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$10,377 Обс.
$10,377 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
12%
$10,377 Обс.
$10,377 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,593 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$5,784 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas’s 2nd congressional district drives the current trader consensus, with Republican nominee Steve Toth positioned as the heavy favorite following his March 2026 primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history, partisan registration edge, and performance in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie, who advanced unopposed in the March primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. With the November 2026 general election still months away and no major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported, the implied probabilities reflect these durable district fundamentals rather than short-term events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,377Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas’s 2nd congressional district drives the current trader consensus, with Republican nominee Steve Toth positioned as the heavy favorite following his March 2026 primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history, partisan registration edge, and performance in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie, who advanced unopposed in the March primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. With the November 2026 general election still months away and no major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported, the implied probabilities reflect these durable district fundamentals rather than short-term events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$10,377Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Texas’s 2nd congressional district drives the current trader consensus, with Republican nominee Steve Toth positioned as the heavy favorite following his March 2026 primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history, partisan registration edge, and performance in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie, who advanced unopposed in the March primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. With the November 2026 general election still months away and no major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported, the implied probabilities reflect these durable district fundamentals rather than short-term events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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