Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff against challengers. Democrat Justin Early emerged from his party's primary to face Carter in the November general election. These structural advantages, combined with the district's consistent voting history in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus on the likely outcome while leaving room for shifts tied to national midterm dynamics or turnout patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$14,261 Обс.
$14,261 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$14,261 Обс.
$14,261 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,990 Обс.
84%
Democratic Party
$5,271 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff against challengers. Democrat Justin Early emerged from his party's primary to face Carter in the November general election. These structural advantages, combined with the district's consistent voting history in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus on the likely outcome while leaving room for shifts tied to national midterm dynamics or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,261Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff against challengers. Democrat Justin Early emerged from his party's primary to face Carter in the November general election. These structural advantages, combined with the district's consistent voting history in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus on the likely outcome while leaving room for shifts tied to national midterm dynamics or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,261Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff against challengers. Democrat Justin Early emerged from his party's primary to face Carter in the November general election. These structural advantages, combined with the district's consistent voting history in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus on the likely outcome while leaving room for shifts tied to national midterm dynamics or turnout patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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