Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Democrat Justin Early advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered Republican victories in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 85 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district's electoral math, historical turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and limited Democratic competitiveness in this central Texas area stretching from Austin suburbs northward. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$14,261 Обс.
$14,261 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
16%
$14,261 Обс.
$14,261 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,990 Обс.
85%
Democratic Party
$5,271 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Democrat Justin Early advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered Republican victories in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 85 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district's electoral math, historical turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and limited Democratic competitiveness in this central Texas area stretching from Austin suburbs northward. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,261Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Democrat Justin Early advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered Republican victories in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 85 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district's electoral math, historical turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and limited Democratic competitiveness in this central Texas area stretching from Austin suburbs northward. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,261Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits. Democrat Justin Early advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered Republican victories in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 85 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election, reflecting the district's electoral math, historical turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and limited Democratic competitiveness in this central Texas area stretching from Austin suburbs northward. No major developments in the past month have altered the race's fundamentals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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