The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 31st congressional district, rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP presidential nominee by double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against nine challengers, avoiding a runoff and reinforcing continuity in a seat he has held since 2003. Democratic nominee Justin Early lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising momentum. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, significant late-cycle scandal, or sharp turnout reversal in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$45,379 Обс.
$45,379 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$45,379 Обс.
$45,379 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$24,918 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$20,461 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 31st congressional district, rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP presidential nominee by double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against nine challengers, avoiding a runoff and reinforcing continuity in a seat he has held since 2003. Democratic nominee Justin Early lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising momentum. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, significant late-cycle scandal, or sharp turnout reversal in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,379Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 31st congressional district, rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP presidential nominee by double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against nine challengers, avoiding a runoff and reinforcing continuity in a seat he has held since 2003. Democratic nominee Justin Early lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising momentum. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, significant late-cycle scandal, or sharp turnout reversal in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$45,379Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 31st congressional district, rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP presidential nominee by double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent John Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote against nine challengers, avoiding a runoff and reinforcing continuity in a seat he has held since 2003. Democratic nominee Justin Early lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising momentum. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A sustained national Democratic wave, significant late-cycle scandal, or sharp turnout reversal in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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