**Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough holds a strong position in Texas’s 32nd congressional district following 2025 redistricting that shifted the seat to an R+8 Partisan Voter Index.** The new boundaries incorporate more suburban and rural counties north and northeast of Dallas, converting a previously Democratic-leaning district into one rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump, secured the Republican nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed when his runoff opponent withdrew. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent statewide results. Traders assign the Republican Party an 80% implied probability, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting tilt, Republican fundraising edge, and absence of competitive polling that would suggest an upset. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$29,814 Обс.
$29,814 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
20%
$29,814 Обс.
$29,814 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$27,358 Обс.
80%
Democratic Party
$2,456 Обс.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough holds a strong position in Texas’s 32nd congressional district following 2025 redistricting that shifted the seat to an R+8 Partisan Voter Index.** The new boundaries incorporate more suburban and rural counties north and northeast of Dallas, converting a previously Democratic-leaning district into one rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters.
Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump, secured the Republican nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed when his runoff opponent withdrew. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent statewide results. Traders assign the Republican Party an 80% implied probability, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting tilt, Republican fundraising edge, and absence of competitive polling that would suggest an upset. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$29,814Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough holds a strong position in Texas’s 32nd congressional district following 2025 redistricting that shifted the seat to an R+8 Partisan Voter Index.** The new boundaries incorporate more suburban and rural counties north and northeast of Dallas, converting a previously Democratic-leaning district into one rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters.
Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump, secured the Republican nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed when his runoff opponent withdrew. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent statewide results. Traders assign the Republican Party an 80% implied probability, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting tilt, Republican fundraising edge, and absence of competitive polling that would suggest an upset. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$29,814Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough holds a strong position in Texas’s 32nd congressional district following 2025 redistricting that shifted the seat to an R+8 Partisan Voter Index.** The new boundaries incorporate more suburban and rural counties north and northeast of Dallas, converting a previously Democratic-leaning district into one rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump, secured the Republican nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed when his runoff opponent withdrew. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent statewide results. Traders assign the Republican Party an 80% implied probability, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting tilt, Republican fundraising edge, and absence of competitive polling that would suggest an upset. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання