Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui commands strong trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to deliver a Democratic House win in California's 7th Congressional District, driven by the district's solid Democratic ratings and her dominant position in the June 2 top-two primary. Recent March 31 fundraising reports show Matsui with $1.05 million cash on hand and challenger Mai Vang at $315,000, dwarfing Republicans Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden, while Matsui holds endorsements from Gov. Gavin Newsom, Sen. Alex Padilla, and Nancy Pelosi. A March poll indicated Matsui leading 28%-22%, reinforcing expectations of a Democrat-vs-Democrat general election on November 3. Upsets could arise from a Republican primary advancement or late Democratic scandals, though historical 66% Democratic margins in 2024 underscore formidable barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-07 House Election Winner
CA-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,855 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$715 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui commands strong trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to deliver a Democratic House win in California's 7th Congressional District, driven by the district's solid Democratic ratings and her dominant position in the June 2 top-two primary. Recent March 31 fundraising reports show Matsui with $1.05 million cash on hand and challenger Mai Vang at $315,000, dwarfing Republicans Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden, while Matsui holds endorsements from Gov. Gavin Newsom, Sen. Alex Padilla, and Nancy Pelosi. A March poll indicated Matsui leading 28%-22%, reinforcing expectations of a Democrat-vs-Democrat general election on November 3. Upsets could arise from a Republican primary advancement or late Democratic scandals, though historical 66% Democratic margins in 2024 underscore formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,569Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui commands strong trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to deliver a Democratic House win in California's 7th Congressional District, driven by the district's solid Democratic ratings and her dominant position in the June 2 top-two primary. Recent March 31 fundraising reports show Matsui with $1.05 million cash on hand and challenger Mai Vang at $315,000, dwarfing Republicans Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden, while Matsui holds endorsements from Gov. Gavin Newsom, Sen. Alex Padilla, and Nancy Pelosi. A March poll indicated Matsui leading 28%-22%, reinforcing expectations of a Democrat-vs-Democrat general election on November 3. Upsets could arise from a Republican primary advancement or late Democratic scandals, though historical 66% Democratic margins in 2024 underscore formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,569Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui commands strong trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to deliver a Democratic House win in California's 7th Congressional District, driven by the district's solid Democratic ratings and her dominant position in the June 2 top-two primary. Recent March 31 fundraising reports show Matsui with $1.05 million cash on hand and challenger Mai Vang at $315,000, dwarfing Republicans Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden, while Matsui holds endorsements from Gov. Gavin Newsom, Sen. Alex Padilla, and Nancy Pelosi. A March poll indicated Matsui leading 28%-22%, reinforcing expectations of a Democrat-vs-Democrat general election on November 3. Upsets could arise from a Republican primary advancement or late Democratic scandals, though historical 66% Democratic margins in 2024 underscore formidable barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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