Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent expert ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean benefits from name recognition and early fundraising dominance as he seeks re-election, while Democratic primary contenders including Michael Kirwan and LaShonda Holloway have yet to consolidate support or close the structural gap in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 18 leave limited time for late shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around continued Republican control unless broader national dynamics intervene.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-04 House Election Winner
FL-04 House Election Winner
$11,912 Обс.
$11,912 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
19%
$11,912 Обс.
$11,912 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,745 Обс.
79%
Democratic Party
$5,167 Обс.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent expert ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean benefits from name recognition and early fundraising dominance as he seeks re-election, while Democratic primary contenders including Michael Kirwan and LaShonda Holloway have yet to consolidate support or close the structural gap in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 18 leave limited time for late shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around continued Republican control unless broader national dynamics intervene.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,912Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent expert ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean benefits from name recognition and early fundraising dominance as he seeks re-election, while Democratic primary contenders including Michael Kirwan and LaShonda Holloway have yet to consolidate support or close the structural gap in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 18 leave limited time for late shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around continued Republican control unless broader national dynamics intervene.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,912Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent expert ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean benefits from name recognition and early fundraising dominance as he seeks re-election, while Democratic primary contenders including Michael Kirwan and LaShonda Holloway have yet to consolidate support or close the structural gap in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 18 leave limited time for late shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around continued Republican control unless broader national dynamics intervene.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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