The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that shifted its Cook Partisan Voting Index significantly leftward, drives trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November general election. Voter registration shows a clear Democratic edge at 39 percent compared with 31 percent Republican and 22 percent no party preference, while nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic. The top-two primary results, with an independent former Republican leading early counts ahead of Republican and Democratic contenders, have not altered the underlying structural advantages that favor Democrats in the general election matchup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$18,555 Обс.
$18,555 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
9%
$18,555 Обс.
$18,555 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,202 Обс.
85%
Republican Party
$10,410 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that shifted its Cook Partisan Voting Index significantly leftward, drives trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November general election. Voter registration shows a clear Democratic edge at 39 percent compared with 31 percent Republican and 22 percent no party preference, while nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic. The top-two primary results, with an independent former Republican leading early counts ahead of Republican and Democratic contenders, have not altered the underlying structural advantages that favor Democrats in the general election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,555Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that shifted its Cook Partisan Voting Index significantly leftward, drives trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November general election. Voter registration shows a clear Democratic edge at 39 percent compared with 31 percent Republican and 22 percent no party preference, while nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic. The top-two primary results, with an independent former Republican leading early counts ahead of Republican and Democratic contenders, have not altered the underlying structural advantages that favor Democrats in the general election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,555Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reinforced by recent redistricting that shifted its Cook Partisan Voting Index significantly leftward, drives trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November general election. Voter registration shows a clear Democratic edge at 39 percent compared with 31 percent Republican and 22 percent no party preference, while nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic. The top-two primary results, with an independent former Republican leading early counts ahead of Republican and Democratic contenders, have not altered the underlying structural advantages that favor Democrats in the general election matchup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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