Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 82% implied probability in the TX-10 House race due to the district's R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP general election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Michael McCaul's 63.6% win in 2024 before his retirement. Chris Gober's outright March 3 primary victory with 51.2%—avoiding a runoff—unified Republicans behind his Trump, Abbott, Cruz, and Johnson endorsements, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk holds a fundraising disadvantage ($244K raised vs. Gober's $2.27M as of late March). Primary results certified April 9 with no subsequent polling or scandals shifting dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-10 House Election Winner
TX-10 House Election Winner
$13,212 Обс.
$13,212 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
$13,212 Обс.
$13,212 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,748 Обс.
82%
Democratic Party
$7,464 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 82% implied probability in the TX-10 House race due to the district's R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP general election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Michael McCaul's 63.6% win in 2024 before his retirement. Chris Gober's outright March 3 primary victory with 51.2%—avoiding a runoff—unified Republicans behind his Trump, Abbott, Cruz, and Johnson endorsements, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk holds a fundraising disadvantage ($244K raised vs. Gober's $2.27M as of late March). Primary results certified April 9 with no subsequent polling or scandals shifting dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,212Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 82% implied probability in the TX-10 House race due to the district's R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP general election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Michael McCaul's 63.6% win in 2024 before his retirement. Chris Gober's outright March 3 primary victory with 51.2%—avoiding a runoff—unified Republicans behind his Trump, Abbott, Cruz, and Johnson endorsements, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk holds a fundraising disadvantage ($244K raised vs. Gober's $2.27M as of late March). Primary results certified April 9 with no subsequent polling or scandals shifting dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,212Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 82% implied probability in the TX-10 House race due to the district's R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP general election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Michael McCaul's 63.6% win in 2024 before his retirement. Chris Gober's outright March 3 primary victory with 51.2%—avoiding a runoff—unified Republicans behind his Trump, Abbott, Cruz, and Johnson endorsements, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk holds a fundraising disadvantage ($244K raised vs. Gober's $2.27M as of late March). Primary results certified April 9 with no subsequent polling or scandals shifting dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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