Longtime Democratic incumbent Paul Tonko faces minimal opposition in New York's 20th district, a Capital Region seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Tonko advanced unopposed after the June 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio secured his party's nomination. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural advantages for Democrats, including incumbency strength, fundraising edges, and limited GOP infrastructure in a reliably blue area. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as Tonko's retirement due to health or scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting local turnout patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-20 House Election Winner
NY-20 House Election Winner
$26,910 Обс.
$26,910 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$26,910 Обс.
$26,910 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,062 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$12,848 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Paul Tonko faces minimal opposition in New York's 20th district, a Capital Region seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Tonko advanced unopposed after the June 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio secured his party's nomination. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural advantages for Democrats, including incumbency strength, fundraising edges, and limited GOP infrastructure in a reliably blue area. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as Tonko's retirement due to health or scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting local turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,910Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Paul Tonko faces minimal opposition in New York's 20th district, a Capital Region seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Tonko advanced unopposed after the June 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio secured his party's nomination. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural advantages for Democrats, including incumbency strength, fundraising edges, and limited GOP infrastructure in a reliably blue area. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as Tonko's retirement due to health or scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting local turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,910Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Paul Tonko faces minimal opposition in New York's 20th district, a Capital Region seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Tonko advanced unopposed after the June 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio secured his party's nomination. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural advantages for Democrats, including incumbency strength, fundraising edges, and limited GOP infrastructure in a reliably blue area. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as Tonko's retirement due to health or scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave shifting local turnout patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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