Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, with traders assigning his re-election a 96.7% implied probability against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins this outlook, reinforced by Hagerty's unopposed primary and strong fundraising advantage. Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination in the August 6 primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have dominated federal elections. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$29,907 Обс.
$29,907 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
97%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
3%
$29,907 Обс.
$29,907 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 Обс.
97%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, with traders assigning his re-election a 96.7% implied probability against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins this outlook, reinforced by Hagerty's unopposed primary and strong fundraising advantage. Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination in the August 6 primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have dominated federal elections. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$29,907Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, with traders assigning his re-election a 96.7% implied probability against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins this outlook, reinforced by Hagerty's unopposed primary and strong fundraising advantage. Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination in the August 6 primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have dominated federal elections. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$29,907Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, with traders assigning his re-election a 96.7% implied probability against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Tennessee's consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate contests, underpins this outlook, reinforced by Hagerty's unopposed primary and strong fundraising advantage. Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination in the August 6 primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have dominated federal elections. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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