Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage, rooted in consistent statewide voting patterns and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican win at 92 percent for the 2026 contest. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 vote and enters the November general election with fundraising strength and institutional backing in a state rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged but lack statewide profile or resources to alter the trajectory. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the structural deficit, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic pathways at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$20,157 Обс.
$20,157 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
3%
$20,157 Обс.
$20,157 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$11,042 Обс.
92%
Democrat
$9,116 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage, rooted in consistent statewide voting patterns and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican win at 92 percent for the 2026 contest. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 vote and enters the November general election with fundraising strength and institutional backing in a state rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged but lack statewide profile or resources to alter the trajectory. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the structural deficit, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic pathways at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,157Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage, rooted in consistent statewide voting patterns and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican win at 92 percent for the 2026 contest. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 vote and enters the November general election with fundraising strength and institutional backing in a state rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged but lack statewide profile or resources to alter the trajectory. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the structural deficit, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic pathways at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$20,157Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage, rooted in consistent statewide voting patterns and the absence of a Democratic Senate victory since 1990, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican win at 92 percent for the 2026 contest. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6 vote and enters the November general election with fundraising strength and institutional backing in a state rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged but lack statewide profile or resources to alter the trajectory. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the structural deficit, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic pathways at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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