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icon for Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Політика·Вибори в США

Kentucky Senate Election Winner

icon for Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Політика·Вибори в США

Kentucky Senate Election Winner

НОВЕ
Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Andy Barr (R)

Andy Barr (R)

$4,863 Обс.

87%

icon for Charles Booker (D)

Charles Booker (D)

$4,513 Обс.

8%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's long-standing Republican dominance in federal contests, with no Democratic Senate win since 1992 and a 30-point Trump margin in the 2024 presidential race, underpins trader consensus favoring Andy Barr. The May 19 primaries clarified the general election matchup, as Barr secured the GOP nomination with roughly 60% of the vote after receiving President Trump's endorsement and navigating a crowded field that included Daniel Cameron. Charles Booker claimed the Democratic nod for the second consecutive cycle but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide name recognition. With the November 3 general election still months away, no major polling shifts or new developments have altered the implied probability, reflecting the structural barriers for Democrats in this seat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$9,376
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's long-standing Republican dominance in federal contests, with no Democratic Senate win since 1992 and a 30-point Trump margin in the 2024 presidential race, underpins trader consensus favoring Andy Barr. The May 19 primaries clarified the general election matchup, as Barr secured the GOP nomination with roughly 60% of the vote after receiving President Trump's endorsement and navigating a crowded field that included Daniel Cameron. Charles Booker claimed the Democratic nod for the second consecutive cycle but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide name recognition. With the November 3 general election still months away, no major polling shifts or new developments have altered the implied probability, reflecting the structural barriers for Democrats in this seat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$9,376
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Kentucky Senate Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Andy Barr (R)» з 87%, далі «Charles Booker (D)» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Kentucky Senate Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Oct 13, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Kentucky Senate Election Winner», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Kentucky Senate Election Winner» — «Andy Barr (R)» з 87%. Наступний — «Charles Booker (D)» з 8%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Kentucky Senate Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.