Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, consistent with the seat's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and her prior victories by wide margins. She secured the Democratic nomination after defeating challenger Aswar Rahman by a wide margin in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom prevailed in his party's primary but enters the general with limited visibility and fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. A late national Republican wave, significant scandal, or unexpected health or withdrawal development could theoretically alter the outlook, though the structural partisan composition and incumbency advantage make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$24,286 Обс.
$24,286 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
96%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
4%
$24,286 Обс.
$24,286 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
$4,052 Обс.
96%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
$20,235 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, consistent with the seat's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and her prior victories by wide margins. She secured the Democratic nomination after defeating challenger Aswar Rahman by a wide margin in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom prevailed in his party's primary but enters the general with limited visibility and fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. A late national Republican wave, significant scandal, or unexpected health or withdrawal development could theoretically alter the outlook, though the structural partisan composition and incumbency advantage make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,286Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, consistent with the seat's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and her prior victories by wide margins. She secured the Democratic nomination after defeating challenger Aswar Rahman by a wide margin in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom prevailed in his party's primary but enters the general with limited visibility and fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. A late national Republican wave, significant scandal, or unexpected health or withdrawal development could theoretically alter the outlook, though the structural partisan composition and incumbency advantage make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,286Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, consistent with the seat's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and her prior victories by wide margins. She secured the Democratic nomination after defeating challenger Aswar Rahman by a wide margin in the August 11 primary, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom prevailed in his party's primary but enters the general with limited visibility and fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance in recent cycles. A late national Republican wave, significant scandal, or unexpected health or withdrawal development could theoretically alter the outlook, though the structural partisan composition and incumbency advantage make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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