Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger Danielle Welch, while the broader NY-03 general election remains competitive on November 3. The district, centered on Nassau County’s North Shore with parts of Queens, delivered a narrow 51.8%-48.2% win for Suozzi in 2024 and carries a neutral Cook Partisan Voting Index. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Lean Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s moderate record and local voter base alongside limited Republican resources and candidate visibility noted in recent analyses. Polls from early-to-mid 2026 show the Democratic nominee ahead of potential Republican opponents such as Chris Gallant, though margins stay in the single digits in several surveys. Trader consensus on party control, currently split 54.5% Democratic versus 42% Republican, incorporates these structural and polling signals plus uncertainty around national midterm dynamics and the outcome of the fast-approaching primary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
40%
Democratic Party
57%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$160 Обс.
40%
Democratic Party
$800 Обс.
57%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger Danielle Welch, while the broader NY-03 general election remains competitive on November 3. The district, centered on Nassau County’s North Shore with parts of Queens, delivered a narrow 51.8%-48.2% win for Suozzi in 2024 and carries a neutral Cook Partisan Voting Index. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Lean Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s moderate record and local voter base alongside limited Republican resources and candidate visibility noted in recent analyses. Polls from early-to-mid 2026 show the Democratic nominee ahead of potential Republican opponents such as Chris Gallant, though margins stay in the single digits in several surveys. Trader consensus on party control, currently split 54.5% Democratic versus 42% Republican, incorporates these structural and polling signals plus uncertainty around national midterm dynamics and the outcome of the fast-approaching primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$960Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger Danielle Welch, while the broader NY-03 general election remains competitive on November 3. The district, centered on Nassau County’s North Shore with parts of Queens, delivered a narrow 51.8%-48.2% win for Suozzi in 2024 and carries a neutral Cook Partisan Voting Index. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Lean Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s moderate record and local voter base alongside limited Republican resources and candidate visibility noted in recent analyses. Polls from early-to-mid 2026 show the Democratic nominee ahead of potential Republican opponents such as Chris Gallant, though margins stay in the single digits in several surveys. Trader consensus on party control, currently split 54.5% Democratic versus 42% Republican, incorporates these structural and polling signals plus uncertainty around national midterm dynamics and the outcome of the fast-approaching primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$960Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger Danielle Welch, while the broader NY-03 general election remains competitive on November 3. The district, centered on Nassau County’s North Shore with parts of Queens, delivered a narrow 51.8%-48.2% win for Suozzi in 2024 and carries a neutral Cook Partisan Voting Index. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Lean Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s moderate record and local voter base alongside limited Republican resources and candidate visibility noted in recent analyses. Polls from early-to-mid 2026 show the Democratic nominee ahead of potential Republican opponents such as Chris Gallant, though margins stay in the single digits in several surveys. Trader consensus on party control, currently split 54.5% Democratic versus 42% Republican, incorporates these structural and polling signals plus uncertainty around national midterm dynamics and the outcome of the fast-approaching primary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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