Tom Suozzi, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Mike LiPetri in the November general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. The district's recent voting patterns and Suozzi's prior electoral success contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at 85.5 percent implied probability. With the general election still months away, factors such as national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in local turnout could influence final margins, though no major developments have recently altered the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
$11,095 Обс.
$11,095 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$11,095 Обс.
$11,095 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,266 Обс.
86%
Republican Party
$6,828 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Mike LiPetri in the November general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. The district's recent voting patterns and Suozzi's prior electoral success contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at 85.5 percent implied probability. With the general election still months away, factors such as national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in local turnout could influence final margins, though no major developments have recently altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,095Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Mike LiPetri in the November general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. The district's recent voting patterns and Suozzi's prior electoral success contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at 85.5 percent implied probability. With the general election still months away, factors such as national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in local turnout could influence final margins, though no major developments have recently altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,095Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Suozzi, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Mike LiPetri in the November general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. The district's recent voting patterns and Suozzi's prior electoral success contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold at 85.5 percent implied probability. With the general election still months away, factors such as national midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in local turnout could influence final margins, though no major developments have recently altered the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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