Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The solidly Democratic seat features a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 18 points, and Latimer secured 71.6 percent of the vote in 2024. His Democratic primary was canceled, allowing automatic advancement, while the Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani and an independent candidate present limited opposition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s consistent voting patterns and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$35,444 Обс.
$35,444 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
1%
$35,444 Обс.
$35,444 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$25,309 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$10,134 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The solidly Democratic seat features a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 18 points, and Latimer secured 71.6 percent of the vote in 2024. His Democratic primary was canceled, allowing automatic advancement, while the Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani and an independent candidate present limited opposition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s consistent voting patterns and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,444Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The solidly Democratic seat features a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 18 points, and Latimer secured 71.6 percent of the vote in 2024. His Democratic primary was canceled, allowing automatic advancement, while the Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani and an independent candidate present limited opposition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s consistent voting patterns and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,444Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The solidly Democratic seat features a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 18 points, and Latimer secured 71.6 percent of the vote in 2024. His Democratic primary was canceled, allowing automatic advancement, while the Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani and an independent candidate present limited opposition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s consistent voting patterns and absence of major recent developments that would shift the balance. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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