Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Latimer secured 71.6% of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary canceled, he advances unopposed on the June 23 ballot. Republican Joseph Cinquemani and a minor independent candidate have not mounted visible challenges or significant fundraising, leaving little contest in a reliably Democratic district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$35,444 Обс.
$35,444 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$35,444 Обс.
$35,444 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$25,309 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$10,134 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Latimer secured 71.6% of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary canceled, he advances unopposed on the June 23 ballot. Republican Joseph Cinquemani and a minor independent candidate have not mounted visible challenges or significant fundraising, leaving little contest in a reliably Democratic district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,444Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Latimer secured 71.6% of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary canceled, he advances unopposed on the June 23 ballot. Republican Joseph Cinquemani and a minor independent candidate have not mounted visible challenges or significant fundraising, leaving little contest in a reliably Democratic district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,444Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and Latimer secured 71.6% of the vote in 2024. With the Democratic primary canceled, he advances unopposed on the June 23 ballot. Republican Joseph Cinquemani and a minor independent candidate have not mounted visible challenges or significant fundraising, leaving little contest in a reliably Democratic district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include late-breaking national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-salience midterm cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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