New York's 16th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and George Latimer's 2024 general election victory by more than 40 points. As the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, Latimer benefits from typical advantages in a solidly blue suburban seat centered in Westchester County, with primaries scheduled for June 2026 and the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural edge and the absence of prominent Republican challengers. Factors that could narrow the gap include a high-profile GOP recruit, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or a significant scandal or primary upset involving the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$38,084 Обс.
$38,084 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$38,084 Обс.
$38,084 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,674 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$10,410 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 16th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and George Latimer's 2024 general election victory by more than 40 points. As the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, Latimer benefits from typical advantages in a solidly blue suburban seat centered in Westchester County, with primaries scheduled for June 2026 and the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural edge and the absence of prominent Republican challengers. Factors that could narrow the gap include a high-profile GOP recruit, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or a significant scandal or primary upset involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,084Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 16th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and George Latimer's 2024 general election victory by more than 40 points. As the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, Latimer benefits from typical advantages in a solidly blue suburban seat centered in Westchester County, with primaries scheduled for June 2026 and the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural edge and the absence of prominent Republican challengers. Factors that could narrow the gap include a high-profile GOP recruit, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or a significant scandal or primary upset involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$38,084Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 16th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and George Latimer's 2024 general election victory by more than 40 points. As the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, Latimer benefits from typical advantages in a solidly blue suburban seat centered in Westchester County, with primaries scheduled for June 2026 and the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural edge and the absence of prominent Republican challengers. Factors that could narrow the gap include a high-profile GOP recruit, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, or a significant scandal or primary upset involving the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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