Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 3rd congressional district race due to the district's established Democratic lean, reflected in a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and her 2024 general election victory by nearly 17 points. As the first-term incumbent and unopposed Democratic nominee, Morrison benefits from structural advantages including higher name recognition and fundraising, while forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who edged out his primary opponent in August 2026, faces the challenge of a district where Republicans have not prevailed since 2016. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a sharp national partisan swing, unexpected candidate controversy, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$21,966 Обс.
$21,966 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
6%
$21,966 Обс.
$21,966 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
$12,428 Обс.
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
$9,538 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 3rd congressional district race due to the district's established Democratic lean, reflected in a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and her 2024 general election victory by nearly 17 points. As the first-term incumbent and unopposed Democratic nominee, Morrison benefits from structural advantages including higher name recognition and fundraising, while forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who edged out his primary opponent in August 2026, faces the challenge of a district where Republicans have not prevailed since 2016. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a sharp national partisan swing, unexpected candidate controversy, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,966Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 3rd congressional district race due to the district's established Democratic lean, reflected in a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and her 2024 general election victory by nearly 17 points. As the first-term incumbent and unopposed Democratic nominee, Morrison benefits from structural advantages including higher name recognition and fundraising, while forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who edged out his primary opponent in August 2026, faces the challenge of a district where Republicans have not prevailed since 2016. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a sharp national partisan swing, unexpected candidate controversy, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$21,966Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 3rd congressional district race due to the district's established Democratic lean, reflected in a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and her 2024 general election victory by nearly 17 points. As the first-term incumbent and unopposed Democratic nominee, Morrison benefits from structural advantages including higher name recognition and fundraising, while forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who edged out his primary opponent in August 2026, faces the challenge of a district where Republicans have not prevailed since 2016. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a sharp national partisan swing, unexpected candidate controversy, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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