Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts with an R+4 partisan voter index. Trader consensus at 55% for the Republican Party versus 45.5% for Democrats reflects the incumbent’s 2024 performance and structural advantages, yet the narrow spread signals ongoing sensitivity to midterm dynamics and the outcome of the June 23 Democratic primary between Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant. Early polling shows LaLota holding modest leads, while fundraising edges and suburban turnout patterns on Long Island keep the race within reach for either side. Primary results, subsequent general-election positioning, or shifts in national political conditions ahead of the November 3 vote could drive clearer separation in market probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$31,280 Обс.
$31,280 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
45%
$31,280 Обс.
$31,280 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,168 Обс.
55%
Democratic Party
$22,112 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts with an R+4 partisan voter index. Trader consensus at 55% for the Republican Party versus 45.5% for Democrats reflects the incumbent’s 2024 performance and structural advantages, yet the narrow spread signals ongoing sensitivity to midterm dynamics and the outcome of the June 23 Democratic primary between Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant. Early polling shows LaLota holding modest leads, while fundraising edges and suburban turnout patterns on Long Island keep the race within reach for either side. Primary results, subsequent general-election positioning, or shifts in national political conditions ahead of the November 3 vote could drive clearer separation in market probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,280Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts with an R+4 partisan voter index. Trader consensus at 55% for the Republican Party versus 45.5% for Democrats reflects the incumbent’s 2024 performance and structural advantages, yet the narrow spread signals ongoing sensitivity to midterm dynamics and the outcome of the June 23 Democratic primary between Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant. Early polling shows LaLota holding modest leads, while fundraising edges and suburban turnout patterns on Long Island keep the race within reach for either side. Primary results, subsequent general-election positioning, or shifts in national political conditions ahead of the November 3 vote could drive clearer separation in market probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,280Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts with an R+4 partisan voter index. Trader consensus at 55% for the Republican Party versus 45.5% for Democrats reflects the incumbent’s 2024 performance and structural advantages, yet the narrow spread signals ongoing sensitivity to midterm dynamics and the outcome of the June 23 Democratic primary between Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant. Early polling shows LaLota holding modest leads, while fundraising edges and suburban turnout patterns on Long Island keep the race within reach for either side. Primary results, subsequent general-election positioning, or shifts in national political conditions ahead of the November 3 vote could drive clearer separation in market probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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