Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Long Island seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+4 that analysts rate Solid Republican. LaLota won his prior general election by more than five points, and no Democratic challengers have yet closed the structural gap ahead of the June 23 primary. The modest 57.5% Republican probability on Polymarket reflects the district’s partisan lean and incumbency edge, while the 41.5% Democratic share accounts for the possibility that a strong nominee could narrow the contest in the fall campaign. Upcoming primary results and early general-election polling will test whether those factors hold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$30,702 Обс.
$30,702 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
57%
Democratic Party
42%
$30,702 Обс.
$30,702 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,094 Обс.
57%
Democratic Party
$21,609 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Long Island seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+4 that analysts rate Solid Republican. LaLota won his prior general election by more than five points, and no Democratic challengers have yet closed the structural gap ahead of the June 23 primary. The modest 57.5% Republican probability on Polymarket reflects the district’s partisan lean and incumbency edge, while the 41.5% Democratic share accounts for the possibility that a strong nominee could narrow the contest in the fall campaign. Upcoming primary results and early general-election polling will test whether those factors hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,702Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Long Island seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+4 that analysts rate Solid Republican. LaLota won his prior general election by more than five points, and no Democratic challengers have yet closed the structural gap ahead of the June 23 primary. The modest 57.5% Republican probability on Polymarket reflects the district’s partisan lean and incumbency edge, while the 41.5% Democratic share accounts for the possibility that a strong nominee could narrow the contest in the fall campaign. Upcoming primary results and early general-election polling will test whether those factors hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$30,702Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicholas LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Long Island seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+4 that analysts rate Solid Republican. LaLota won his prior general election by more than five points, and no Democratic challengers have yet closed the structural gap ahead of the June 23 primary. The modest 57.5% Republican probability on Polymarket reflects the district’s partisan lean and incumbency edge, while the 41.5% Democratic share accounts for the possibility that a strong nominee could narrow the contest in the fall campaign. Upcoming primary results and early general-election polling will test whether those factors hold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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